September 4 Cryptocurrency Morning Report: Divergence in US Stocks, Strong Signals of Federal Reserve Rate Cuts, Analysis of Bitcoin and Ethereum Trends

CN
8 hours ago

Tracking real-time hotspots in the cryptocurrency market and seizing the best trading opportunities, today is Thursday, September 4, 2025, I am Wang Yibo! Good morning, crypto friends! ☀️ Die-hard fans check-in 👍 Like for big profits 🍗🍗 🌹🌹

  1. U.S. Stock Market and Federal Reserve Dynamics

The U.S. stock market closed mixed on Wednesday, with the Dow slightly down, the S&P 500 index down 0.5%, and the Nasdaq up 1%. The Trump family-related Bitcoin mining company American Bitcoin rose 16%, Google (GOOG.O) rose 9%, and Apple (AAPL.O) rose 3.8%.

Several senior officials from the Federal Reserve are calling for interest rate cuts, warning that the job market may deteriorate rapidly. On Wednesday, multiple officials, including Governor Waller and Atlanta Fed President Bostic, signaled a rate cut, emphasizing that the weakness in the labor market is a core reason for a rate cut.

According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in September is 3.4%, while the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 96.6%. The probability of maintaining rates in October is 1.6%, with a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut at 46.8% and a cumulative probability of a 50 basis point cut at 51.6%. Stay tuned to Yibo for timely updates.

  1. Bitcoin Market Analysis

Bitcoin showed a trend of initially declining and then rising during the day, stabilizing and rebounding from around 110,100 in the early morning, then fluctuating and climbing above 111,700 into a consolidation range. In the evening, bulls experienced a surge, but after consecutive gains, they faced resistance at the 112,500 pressure level and retreated, closing with a bearish doji, dropping to 111,500 where it found support, currently in a state of fluctuation.

The K-line has shown a significant upward trend recently, indicating strong bullish momentum. In the short term, the price continues to break through key resistance levels, with the potential for further gains. Given the strong support below, each pullback is effectively supported, and bulls still dominate. This pullback is a technical correction, so the strategy remains unchanged, and it is recommended to buy on dips.

  1. Ethereum Market Analysis

Ethereum rebounded strongly from a low of 4,281 to 4,354 before briefly starting to correct. Ultimately, after stabilizing around 4,285, it began a one-sided upward trend, reaching a new daily high of 4,488.

From a 4-hour perspective, Ethereum's trend shows a steady upward pattern. The low points of each K-line are closely connected to the starting points of subsequent K-lines, resembling steps that build a coherent upward rhythm. Meanwhile, the volatility range presents an upward-opening shape, and as time progresses, the opening continues to widen, effectively laying a solid path for upward movement, ensuring a smooth upward trend within the established range.

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If you are feeling lost—don’t understand the technology, can’t read the charts, don’t know when to enter the market, don’t know how to set stop losses, don’t understand take profits, randomly increase positions, get stuck while trying to catch the bottom, can’t hold onto profits, miss market opportunities… these are common issues for retail investors. But don’t worry, I can help you establish the right trading mindset. A single profit is worth a thousand words; repeated failures are not as good as finding the right direction. Instead of frequent trading, it’s better to strike accurately, making each trade more valuable. If you need real-time guidance, you can scan the QR code at the bottom of the article to follow my public account. The market changes rapidly, and due to the timeliness of reviews, subsequent trends will be based on real-time layouts. I look forward to progressing steadily with you in the market.

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