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You can follow the public account Analyst Liang Qiu bb, focusing on mainstream coin guidance and layout. Bitcoin/Ethereum's evening market once again tested upward and quickly retreated after a rise. This wave of increase did not change the downward trend. The positions we laid out during the day at 4120 and above 114300 were all cashed out for profit during the evening's rise and subsequent price drop, and the overall space is quite good. From the larger trend perspective, the probability of continuing to rise and break the high point in the early morning is indeed low. Bitcoin did briefly break above the 116000 mark in the evening, but the drop was also quite fast. Currently, the focus is on whether the four-hour line can break and stabilize above 116000.
From the four-hour perspective, it again closed with a long upper shadow and a bearish candle, indicating that there is significant pressure around 4180 to 4200 and 116000, with a high probability of a drop. Bitcoin has indeed strengthened a lot, and currently, two points need attention: first, whether Bitcoin's four-hour line can break and stabilize around 116000; second, whether Ethereum will subsequently form a supplementary rise and break through the 4180 area. Especially for Ethereum, once it strongly breaks through 4180, it will form an alternating rise pattern between Bitcoin and Ethereum, at which point short positions cannot be held, and one can only go long on dips. Until a breakthrough occurs, there is no need to gamble on a breakthrough for a few dozen points.
For the early morning operation, it is recommended to continue shorting Bitcoin around 115000 to 115500, with a target near 113000; for Ethereum, continue shorting around 4130 to 4150, with a target near 4050.
Currently, the market is relatively good. I recommend trading altcoins like ORDI, LPT, SOL, and UNI in a swing trading manner, with specific operations based on real-time guidance. For more strategies, you can follow the public account: Analyst Liang Qiu bb.
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