Coin Victory Group: On November 3rd, the washout revealed intentions, from the Federal Reserve to the monthly closing, a detailed explanation of why Bitcoin must decline.

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币天王
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7 hours ago

Don't worry about not having friends on the road ahead; there are like-minded individuals on the investment journey. Good afternoon, everyone! I am the King of Coins from the Coin Victory Group. Thank you all for coming here to watch the articles and videos from the King. Every day, I bring you different news from the crypto world and precise market analysis.

Click the link to watch the video: https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1Wb1vBJEt4/

1. Establishing Credibility with "Predictive Validation" (Core: Proving Logical Reliability)

  1. Validation of Past Strategies: Before the weekly closing of the five-day moving average, the Coin Victory Group clearly stated, "If it breaks below 109500, repeatedly short." The market from weekend to Monday (109500 repeatedly retesting → false break with a spike → straight drop to 108000) completely matched the "repeated" logic, proving it was not a follow-the-market move but a preemptive prediction of the trajectory;

  2. Validation of Key Support: Previously emphasized, "Although the October market is falling, it must not break the weekly bull-bear line at 106000." After the Federal Reserve's decision, the market's lowest point was only 106200, accurately holding the support, further confirming the coherence of the prediction.

2. Core Analysis: Deconstructing "Market Fluctuations + Operator Intent" (Core: Seeing Through Market Essence, Eliminating Hesitation)

  1. Essence of Market Fluctuations:

    • Over the weekend, around 109500, "retesting support → rebound": the goal is to "entice long positions + prevent short positions," making retail investors mistakenly believe the support is strong;

    • On Monday morning, "false break of 109500 spike → pullback → one-sided drop": first, it sweeps away retail investors chasing shorts, then exposes the downward trend, creating an atmosphere of "not daring to chase shorts at the middle position";

  2. Purpose of Operator's Washout: The back-and-forth fluctuations are not meant to reverse but to "shake the confidence of holding short positions," forcing retail investors to take profits early, clearing the selling pressure for subsequent one-sided declines;

  3. Decoding Market Sentiment: Retail investors worry about "106000 being the weekly bull-bear line," fearing "chasing shorts to the floor," but the Coin Victory Group has previously explained, "Holding 106000 in October is to build momentum for breaking in November." The current hesitation is the last emotional trap before the break.

3. Current Operations: Clarifying "Entry Strategy + Risk Control" (Core: Providing Concrete Plans, Not Ambiguous)

  1. Entry Logic: Since the prediction has been validated, the washout intent is exposed, and the break is imminent (only one last push from 106000), it is necessary to "go against the trend and chase shorts," rather than following market fear;

  2. Specific Points: Currently, short directly at 108000-108500, with a stop loss set at 109500 (corresponding to the previously validated support level; if broken, it indicates that the short-term washout exceeds expectations and should be avoided);

  3. Take Profit Principle: Dynamic take profit, focusing on "the performance of breaking 106000" (as this point is the weekly bull-bear boundary, whether it breaks or not determines if the "epic top" is established).

4. Subsequent Responses: Two Scenarios for "Breaking 106000" (Core: Preemptive Planning, Controlling Risks and Seizing Opportunities)

Scenario 1: 106000 Fluctuates (Ideal Situation)

  • Logic: Fluctuation is "building momentum for a one-sided drop," indicating that bears are not in a hurry to exert force, and subsequent volume will be stronger;

  • Operation: All short positions (previously at 112300/111500/109500 short + current 108000 short) continue to hold, without setting fixed take profits, but rather increasing positions during the decline (to expand profits).

Scenario 2: 106000 Directly Breaks (Need to Beware of Oversold Reversal)

  • Situation 1: If it breaks and only drops around 1000 points → continue to hold, as it essentially is "washing out and sweeping away chasing shorts," not changing the bearish trend;

  • Situation 2: If it breaks and drops more than 2000 points (to 103000-104000) → immediately close positions, as overselling can easily trigger a strong short-term reversal, necessitating avoidance of pullback risks.

5. Underlying Main Line: Always Focused on "Seizing the Epic Top in November"

All predictions, operations, and responses ultimately point to "waiting for the break of 106000 to capture the long-term top"—from holding support in October, repeatedly increasing short positions, to focusing on the break in November, the logic remains closed-loop, with no gaps.

That's all for today. Remember the hot topics, grasp the trading essentials, and keep a close eye on key points in the market. Let's continue to profit next time! If you find this useful, please like and follow, so you don't get lost! Lastly, let me say something from the heart: if you truly want to learn from a blogger, you need to follow them long-term, not just watch a few market updates and jump to conclusions! There are too many "performative players" in this market; today they show screenshots of long positions, tomorrow they summarize short positions, making it seem like they are "grabbing tops and bottoms" every time, but in reality, it's all hindsight! What truly deserves attention is the trading logic that is consistent and can withstand scrutiny, not those who only "jump in" when the market moves! Don't be blinded by flashy data and out-of-context screenshots; long-term observation and deep understanding are needed to distinguish who is a true thinker in the field and who is just a dream seller! Our content is exclusively planned by the Coin Victory Group. Search for "Coin Victory Group" on WeChat public account, with the same name across the internet! If you want to learn about real-time strategies, liquidation techniques, or K-line and contract methods, you can chat with the Coin Victory Group. There are currently free experience groups and community live broadcasts for fans, all full of practical content, no fluff! Let's keep an eye on the meeting together on Thursday morning; if there are any updates, we can chat anytime. If you find this useful, please like and follow, so you don't get lost!

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