Cryptocurrency News
December 11 Hot Topics:
1. Strategy has formally objected to MSCI's proposal to exclude "digital asset financial companies."
2. If SpaceX's IPO valuation reaches $1.5 trillion, Musk's net worth will approach $1 trillion.
3. Goldman Sachs: The Fed's hawkish camp has been appeased, future easing depends on the labor market.
4. Powell: I don't think anyone currently expects interest rate hikes as a baseline; the Fed has not made any decisions regarding the January meeting, and the benchmark outlook for next year will be robust economic growth.
5. U.S. President Trump: The rate cut is too small; it could have been larger, and the Fed's rates should drop to the lowest in the world.
Trading Insights
The weekend market fluctuated, with a tug-of-war between bulls and bears, making it difficult to discern the trend. Retail investors blindly entering the market are likely to misstep. The core of trading profit is not frequent operations chasing highs and cutting losses, but rather patiently waiting. Abandoning a restless mindset, adhering to trading rules, and calmly waiting for precise entry signals that meet expectations is crucial—no impulsiveness, no luck. Once a signal is confirmed, strictly execute the established strategy, decisively open positions, and firmly stop losses and take profits—without hesitation or greed. Patience is a barrier to filter risks, and execution is a guarantee to realize profits; both complement each other, enabling steady profits in volatile markets while avoiding traps and seizing certain opportunities.
LIFE IS LIKE
A JOURNEY ▲
Below are the real trading signals from the Big White Community this week. Congratulations to the coin friends who followed along; if your operations are not smooth, you can come and test the waters.
The data is real, and each order has a screenshot from the time it was sent.
**Search for the public account: *Big White Talks Coins*
Bilibili and YouTube account: Daquan 777
BTC
Analysis
Historically, when interest rates exceed 5% in the U.S., the probability of recession is very high. Although recession is painful, it is the fastest way to reduce inflation; otherwise, inflation and the economy will tug back and forth, much like a tumor. While conservative treatment seems to cause the least harm, surgical removal is the only permanent solution. The weekly chart shows an upper shadow and a pullback, with a risk of a bearish close this week; the bullish rebound is under pressure. This week, we will focus on whether it can return above the descending trend line. On the daily chart, BTC maintains a range with a lower bound of 88,000 and an upper bound of 94,000. A breakout above 94,000 is needed to target the 97,000 FVG gap. The MACD green bars are shrinking, and the RSI shows a risk of death cross, indicating short-term pullback pressure exists. For short-term levels, focus on the 4-hour chart; short-term opportunities move in tandem. In the short term, on the 4-hour level, the larger scale is in a fluctuating upward channel, while the smaller scale forms a bearish M-top structure. The target for the decline is around 88,500 (which is also the previous low support area). If the low support area of 87,500-88,500 is broken, pay attention to the support near the lower track of the larger upward channel at 86,500, which must not be effectively broken; if it is broken, the fluctuating upward channel may end.
ETH
Analysis
Many people are asking about the expectation of interest rate cuts in 2026. I think Powell is still somewhat hawkish, especially regarding the January rate cut. Powell believes there is still a lot of time to look at the data and is not in a hurry to cut rates in January. Of course, he said the same last month, but this month he contradicted himself.
However, Powell does believe that many December data points will emerge before the January meeting, which will help the Fed provide a basis for January and future monetary policy. Overall, it still depends on the data, but this time it is slightly different; Powell believes that if there are no tariffs, inflation has already returned to around 2%. What needs to be confirmed now is whether the inflation in goods caused by tariffs is a one-time effect. Overall, Powell has not made very hawkish statements and believes that the U.S. economy is developing well, with good growth driven by AI and strong resilience. He did not mention the possibility of economic downturns, but he did acknowledge that there are risks of a downturn in the labor market.
Many reporters asked whether the downturn in labor is related to AI. To be honest, this puts Powell in a difficult position, but he believes that the current layoffs are not significantly influenced by AI and stated that the current unemployment rate is still at a low point. Looking at the data remains the focus, and it should still be somewhat neutral.
Ethereum had a long upper shadow this week, touching the M-top neckline at 3,450 before pulling back. The weekly chart failed to break the descending channel, showing a weak trend. The daily chart touched the upper bound of the ascending channel before pulling back, breaking below the middle track and the descending trend line. Currently, we focus on the key support area: 3,120-3,160 (the lower track of the channel + the W-bottom neckline). If the support holds, there is still a chance to challenge the upper bound of 3,600 + the FVG gap; otherwise, the trend weakens. The 4-hour chart shows a failed attempt to break the upper bound, with a downturn entering a bearish AMD structure.
Disclaimer: The above content is personal opinion and for reference only! It does not constitute specific operational advice and does not bear legal responsibility. Market conditions change rapidly, and the article has a certain lag; if there are any unclear points, feel free to consult.
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