Cryptocurrency Academy: Is the top divergence of Ethereum on January 16, combined with momentum exhaustion, a trap or a vacuum? Latest market analysis and thought reference.

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3 hours ago

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Cryptocurrency Circle Academician: January 16, 2026, Ethereum (ETH) Latest Market Analysis Reference

The current price of Ethereum is 3300. It is now 3 AM Beijing time, and the market has not yet hit the entry point for the northbound trade. It is consolidating around the 3300 level, and there is a possibility of testing 3170. The market trend for this week has ended, and the remaining consolidation is suitable for swing trading, allowing for several back-and-forth trades while managing risk.

Before the article was published, the daily K-line reached a high of 3385 and a low of 3275. The EMA trend indicator is still contracting. It is expected that by the end of this month, the bottom support will stabilize around 3170. The upper resistance of the Bollinger Bands is at 3370, which is effective for short-term trades. It is advisable to consider going south near the resistance level. Pay attention to the support point below EMA90 at 3265; if it breaks, then consider entering northbound. The MACD has been reducing its volume, and the market momentum is weakening, indicating a need for consolidation.

The four-hour K-line has repeatedly faced resistance at the support level of 3285. The EMA15 trend line is also at this position, forming a rising flag pattern. The MACD shows a top divergence with decreasing volume, and both DIF and DEA are contracting. If the market breaks below the short-term support of 3285, a death cross will form, indicating a bearish trend. The upper Bollinger Band is at 3450, the middle band is at 3250, and the upward channel has a space of 200 points. It is recommended to wait until the market loses 3250 before considering whether to go north.

Short-term reference: (Practical data has been updated; please consult the author for details)

Support from 3250 to 3200 is effective for going north, with a stop loss of 40 points and a target of 3300 to 3400. If it breaks, look at 3450.

Resistance from 3350 to 3400 is effective for going south, with a stop loss of 40 points and a target of 3300 to 3250. If it breaks, look at 3200.

Specific operations should be based on real-time market data. For more information, please consult the author. There may be delays in article publication; the suggestions are for reference only, and risks are borne by the reader.

This article is exclusively contributed by the Cryptocurrency Circle Academician and represents the unique views of the Academician. In-depth research has been conducted on BTC, ETH, DOGE, DOT, FIL, EOS, etc. Due to the timing of the article's release, the above views and suggestions may not be real-time and are for reference only. Risks are borne by the reader. Please indicate the source when reprinting. Manage your positions reasonably and avoid heavy or full positions. The Academician also hopes that all investors understand that the market is always right. If you are wrong, you should reflect on where the problem lies. Do not let the profits that should be yours slip away. There is no need to be smarter than the market. When a trend comes, respond to it; when there is no trend, observe and remain calm. It is not too late to act once the trend becomes clear. Tomorrow's success stems from today's choices. Heaven rewards diligence, the earth rewards kindness, humanity rewards sincerity, business rewards trust, industry rewards excellence, and art rewards passion. Gains and losses often occur unexpectedly. Develop the habit of strictly managing stop losses and take profits for each trade. The Cryptocurrency Circle Academician wishes you happy investing!

Warm reminder: The above content is solely created by the author of the public account. The advertisements at the end of the article and in the comments section are unrelated to the author. Please discern carefully. Thank you for reading.

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