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You can follow the public account Gu Jingci, focusing on mainstream currency guidance and layout. At two in the morning, the interest rate decision is coming, and at two thirty, Powell will speak. For specific dot plot situations, please refer to the previous article analysis. Bitcoin/Ethereum surged before the early morning data came out. After more than a day of high consolidation, it experienced a pullback and drop in the evening, breaking the previous rise points around 2300 and 73500, also breaking the four-hour mid-track line, indicating a clear weak trend, which shows that the market expectations for early morning data are not very optimistic, and the break position still has further downward pullback space. The K-line pattern on the 4-hour chart shows that after the surge, prices formed consecutive large bearish candles, indicating that bearish forces dominate, and prices are quickly declining.
The daily chart shows that after the previous huge surge with a large bullish candle, the market has entered a correction. The evening's pullback drop broke the upward trend forming a strong bearish engulfing candle, confirming a short-term downward trend. In terms of technical indicators, the 4-hour MACD has formed a death cross (DIF crosses below DEA, and the MACD histogram is negative and continuously expanding, indicating strong short-term downward momentum).
Evening operation suggestion: continue to enter short positions for Bitcoin around 72500 to 73000, with a target of around 70000 to 71000; for Ethereum, continue to enter short positions around 2250 to 2270, with a target of 2150 to 2180, and if broken, continue to watch 68500 and 2100 levels.
Daily analysis and strategy have a relatively high winning rate, all can be seen, analysis and strategies are for reference only, please bear the risk yourself, the article review and release do not have timeliness, specifics are subject to real-time!For more strategies, you can follow the public account: Gu Jingci
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