Since Trump took office, there has been concern every weekend about what surprises Trump might create, especially recently during wartime. Although Trump's words are tough, his actions have always been uncertain, and reports from the White House often differ greatly from those from Iran. I used to think that White House reports were more accurate, but after a series of events, I have begun to believe that regarding U.S.-Iran relations, neither side is telling the truth.
For example, this time, Trump revealed that Iran wanted to negotiate quickly and expressed that the U.S. was already communicating with the actual rulers of Iran. However, the Iranian side stated that there is currently no plan for negotiations and that the U.S. has been seeking opportunities through intermediaries in Pakistan, so it is unclear who is telling the truth.
However, we will know next week whether negotiations can happen. If there are no negotiations by Monday, it is estimated that the White House and Trump will be embarrassed. If Iran begins negotiations, Tasnim will be embarrassed.
In addition, Trump currently faces a number of issues, including sanctions against Hengli Petrochemical (Dalian) Refining Co., Ltd. and more than 40 related companies before his upcoming visit to China, mainly because this company is involved in oil transactions with Iran. Furthermore, the U.S. Supreme Court has ruled that $159 billion in tariffs must be returned. All of these are enough to give Trump a headache.
Returning to Bitcoin data, there was a large-scale exchange today, but there was no significant change in trading volume and price. Therefore, it is likely just internal adjustments within the exchanges. The overall chip structure of $BTC is still very healthy, but as mentioned the day before yesterday, the market has already anticipated a ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran. If there is no new positive news, it may be difficult to restore an upward trend.
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