Today, the market encountered a sudden "black swan" event again. On the evening of May 17, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu communicated with U.S. President Trump to discuss the possibility of restarting military actions against Iran. Subsequently, Trump publicly stated that if Iran fails to meet the U.S. demands regarding its nuclear program, the U.S. would adopt tougher military measures. Following the news, global risk-averse sentiment quickly intensified, with Brent crude oil briefly breaking through 110 dollars per barrel, U.S. stock futures falling across the board, risk assets coming under pressure, and the cryptocurrency market also being dragged into a panic rhythm.

In the early trading session, the market again experienced a "flood-like" decline, with the second currency rapidly falling 85 points within 5 minutes, while the first currency dropped nearly 1000 points, forcing a very extreme bullish trend. This current drop is essentially more driven by news-induced emotional stampedes rather than a natural evolution of technical structure.

In terms of rhythm, after experiencing a rapid sell-off, the market is likely to enter a phase of oscillation and consolidation. Recently, the market has repeatedly exhibited this cycle of "news stimulus—rapid decline—consolidation recovery," indicating that current capital is extremely sensitive to external risks. The stock markets in Japan and South Korea also showed significant declines today, with global risk appetite simultaneously decreasing. Relatively speaking, the resilience shown by the A-share market today provides a glimmer of space for emotional recovery in the market.

It needs to be clarified that when technical analysis conflicts with news sentiment, the short-term market will prioritize responding to emotions and news. However, emotions are ultimately only temporary; as the panic fades, the market will return to its structural logic and capital logic.

This article is originally published by [Huiying Community] and represents individual opinions only. Due to certain delays in information transmission, the content is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice; please make rational judgments and operate cautiously.
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