Token markets are broken by design

CN
3 hours ago

Token markets are broken by design.

Buying every new listing across the major CEXs since 2025 would have lost retail about half its capital.

The median listing fell 82%, and exchanges have become a place where early holders sell into retail buyers.

Tokens with monthly unlock schedules underperformed BTC by about 7% in the week leading upto and weeks after each unlock event.

What makes token outperformance difficult is that the next unlock usually arrived before the market has had the opportunity to absorbed the last.

Six major airdrops saw 78 to 94% of recipient wallets sell off most of their allocation by day 90. One of those programs paid roughly $1 billion in token value to wallets that haven't stayed around.

The best designs are simple. They now route revenue back to holders and tie supply releases to performance milestones. A revenue-weighted basket of the 10 highest-revenue protocols has outperformed BTC, ETH, and SOL since January 2025.

What's left is one of the strongest setups crypto investing has had: fewer tokens, better designed, and structural buyers replacing the hedge funds that exited.


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