Listen fam..

CN
10 hours ago

Listen fam...

The Fed knows they have no influence over energy-specific inflation, especially in an environment where non-energy COI inflation is making 5.5-year lows.

A hike today is for the sole purpose of credibility.

And that doesn't make it right.

A hike today won't curb geopolitical tensions.

Therefore it won't curb headline re-inflation.

It's basic math.

The market is testing Warsh's commitment and seeing if it can control the Fed (hint: it can, if the Fed lets it).

By hiking today, the market reestablishes influence over the Fed... the exact thing Warsh wanted to prevent.

If I was him, I'd give the market a middle finger and cut.

How's that for forward guidance?

Good luck.


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