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Jim Bianco
Jim Bianco|5月 13, 2025 15:59
Every major economic release since May 1st (including the FOMC meeting) has REDUCED the probability of a Fed cut (vertical dotted lines). The next FOMC meeting with a better than 50% probability of a cut is now September 17 (currently 60%). Less than two weeks ago, this probability was more than 100%. If this trend holds, the next cut will be pushed out to December soon.
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Timeline

6月 12, 15:43【Trump suggests that the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 200 basis points】
6月 12, 15:31【War is negative for cryptocurrencies】
6月 12, 13:22【The number of initial jobless claims in the United States exceeds expectations】
6月 12, 12:46【PPI data has little impact on the market】
6月 12, 12:39【Analysis of the possibility of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates】
6月 12, 12:33【Traders reprice Federal Reserve rates across the board】
6月 12, 12:04【Shanzhai coins generally fall, ETH performs well】
6月 12, 12:00【Bitcoin intelligence report evaluates short-term setting risks】
6月 12, 08:05【The current price of BTC is $107600, and market trading tends to be cautious】
6月 12, 06:45【Traders increase their bets on the Bank of England cutting interest rates】

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