Polymarket predicts that the probability of Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz before June 30th is 47%. After Iran released the news of proposing to close the Strait of Hormuz to the Supreme Security Council, Polymarket predicted that the market probability would rise from 14% to this level. However, institutional analysts still view Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz as a tail risk, and even if the Supreme Security Council orders a closure, it will only be a symbolic closure for a few days. So, I personally predict that there will be a dramatic reversal in the cryptocurrency market in the next 7 days, similar to the one on April 7th this year. Looking at the cryptocurrency market in recent years, every time FUD reaches its peak, it is always a good buy.