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The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 95.3%

律动BlockBeats
律动BlockBeats|7月 20, 2025 22:26
According to BlockBeats, on July 21st, according to CME's "Federal Reserve Watch", the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 95.3%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 4.7%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 39.3%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 58%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 2.7%.
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Timeline

8月 19, 21:56Traders bet on a significant interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve next month
8月 19, 21:38VIX makes stock market selling look like profit taking
8月 19, 18:53Analysis of the Relationship between Gold and US Stocks and Market Trends
8月 19, 17:56The usage of overnight reverse repo by the Federal Reserve has dropped to its lowest level
8月 19, 13:13The Federal Reserve may accelerate interest rate cuts and pass on tariff costs
8月 19, 11:50Federal Reserve cuts interest rates may promote a rebound in housing construction
8月 19, 11:32Inflation is a psychological phenomenon
8月 19, 10:05The United States is about to lose liquidity, affecting cryptocurrency
8月 19, 09:38The US Federal Reserve's interest rate cut bet weakens and raises the yield of treasury bond bonds
8月 19, 09:28Goldman Sachs is optimistic about five-year US Treasury bonds and expects a 25 basis point interest rate cut

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