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The probability of the Federal Reserve holding interest rates unchanged this week is 97.4%

金色财经
金色财经|7月 27, 2025 22:09
According to a report by Golden Finance, according to CME's "Federal Reserve Watch", the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 97.4%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 2.6%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 35.9%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 62.4%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 1.6%. (Golden Ten)
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Timeline

8月 26, 20:14PPI inflation may rise further
8月 26, 17:39Interest rate risk has become a significant macroeconomic risk.
8月 26, 17:36The Federal Reserve's overnight reverse repurchase agreement usage amounted to $28.574 billion.
8月 26, 17:00Has the Bitcoin crash ended?
8月 26, 12:22The Federal Reserve may cut interest rates by 25 basis points at the September meeting.
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8月 26, 11:45The Fed's rate cut signal could cause the S&P 500 to soar
8月 26, 07:33The rebound of the US dollar is limited.
8月 26, 05:49Morgan Stanley predicts the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates twice this year.
8月 26, 05:41Major losses of Machi and market trends

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