
财经少华|Aug 24, 2025 09:59
Which stage of the market cycle are we in right now?
Historical data shows that the peak of Bitcoin bull market cycles usually occurs in the fourth quarter following a halving (e.g., 2013, 2017, 2021). The current 2025 cycle might follow this pattern.
September is traditionally a weak month for Bitcoin, but October has historically performed strongly. Recent pullbacks could be a buying opportunity.
Three key factors supporting a bullish Q4:
- The Fed has a 75% probability of cutting rates in September, and a low-interest-rate environment benefits risk assets like crypto.
- Crypto firms purchased over 532,000 ETH (worth more than $2 billion) last week, creating sustained buying pressure.
- Market top signals haven’t fully appeared yet (Fear & Greed Index remains at healthy levels).
Planning to buy the dip on popular tokens at the end of September and gradually take profits in Q4, while emphasizing risk management and strategy flexibility.
#BTC #ETH
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