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็ฎ€ไฝ“็น้ซ”English
|Legacy
BTCBTC
๐Ÿ’ฒ70649.02
-
0.89%
ETHETH
๐Ÿ’ฒ2076.46
-
1.48%
SOLSOL
๐Ÿ’ฒ86.94
-
2.31%
TRUMPTRUMP
๐Ÿ’ฒ4.11
+
6.2%
USDCUSDC
๐Ÿ’ฒ0.9997
-
0.01%
HYPEHYPE
๐Ÿ’ฒ38.11
+
4.47%

Zane
Zane|Sep 19, 2025 08:30
๐Ÿ“ˆ Crypto Market Cycle Scale changes the math. The base gets bigger. The multiples get smaller. What matters is where this cycle can stretch. ๐Ÿ”น Historical TOTAL Market Cap Peaks - 2013 bull: 15B - 2017 bull: 830B - 2021 bull: 3.3T - 2025 (current): 4.2T (Peaks are rounded. Current is todayโ€™s ballpark.) ๐Ÿ”น Growth Multipliers - 2013 โ†’ 2017: 55x - 2017 โ†’ 2021: 4x - 2021 โ†’ 2025 (current): 1.25x ๐Ÿ‘‰ The rate of increase is slowing each cycle. From 55x to 4x to 1.25x. ๐Ÿ”น Possible Scenarios This Cycle - Bear case: Stays near here. Peak 4.5Tโ€“5T. - Base case: Modest growth with broader participation. Peak 6Tโ€“7T. - Bull case: Institutions plus retail mania plus ETF flows plus friendlier policy. Peak 8Tโ€“10T. ๐Ÿ“ My Take - We are in diminishing returns mode. With 4T+ already printed, the most realistic path is a 6Tโ€“7T peak. - 10T is a stretch but not fantasy if global liquidity, ETF demand, and a true alt rotation align. - Expect smaller multiples in future cycles as crypto shifts from startup to macro asset class.(Zane)
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Timeline

Oct 18, 21:31Ethereum hasn't risen to 10K yet.
Oct 18, 17:31Scarcity of liquidity in the financial system raises concerns
Oct 18, 16:01SLERF rose this week but will be delisted.
Oct 18, 14:48Bull markets typically stay above their 200-day moving average.
Oct 18, 13:46Liquidity crash: Event occurred between 21:18 and 21:20
Oct 18, 02:45Market signals are mixed, analysis is both bullish and bearish.
Oct 17, 19:19Bitcoin liquidity rises again
Oct 17, 18:44Bull markets often have spikes, an analysis of the spike phenomenon
Oct 17, 16:55Cryptocurrency cycles are not as they seem.
Oct 17, 14:38The U.S. banking system shows signs of market liquidity stress

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