土澳大狮兄BroLeon | 🔶BNB |
土澳大狮兄BroLeon | 🔶BNB ||Dec 23, 2025 11:27
Great to see some crypto media starting to realize the connection between prediction markets and the truth, and trying to approach media from a different angle. A few months ago, I wrote a viral post specifically about the essence of prediction markets, saying, 'Money is like water, it only flows to the lowlands of truth.' Link: https://(x.com)/BroLeon/status/1849367123456782345 The reason traditional media is declining more and more is that their sources of information are just illusions others want you to see, while personal media leaks are much more convenient. If that’s the case, why can’t traditional media transform into aggregating truths by analyzing the flow of money in prediction markets? Prediction markets (like Polymarket) are becoming increasingly accurate because people with real insider information can’t resist betting to arbitrage—'As long as something involves multiple people, and when intelligence is directly tied to money without exposing identities, almost no one can resist betting to grab that highly certain money.' As more people realize they can easily make money on prediction markets using insider info, these markets will get closer and closer to the truth. Take political news, for example. Instead of reading some politician’s bullshit news aggregation, I’d much rather see a sudden shift in probabilities on a prediction market. More and more prediction projects and increasingly segmented prediction markets will become treasure troves of truthful information. @BlockBeatsAsia has a great sense for this move, and I believe more people will dive into data analysis in this area in the future.
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