Phyrex|12月 30, 2025 20:04
Still not escaping the curse of $90000, Bitcoin has been fluctuating around $88000. In this low liquidity situation, it is considered a good thing. The most important thing today should be the Federal Reserve's release of the meeting summary. After a rough look, Federal Reserve officials believe that many of the current inflation increases are related to tariffs, and they also believe that inflation may be difficult to drop to 2% in the short term.
The lack of vitality in the labor market reflects economic uncertainty or measures taken by enterprises to control costs, leading to a decrease in labor demand. The decrease in labor supply related to reduced immigration, aging population, or declining labor force participation rate, coupled with the risk of a downturn in the labor force, indicates that the US economy may not be as good and stable as many people think.
However, the Federal Reserve still believes that the US economy will experience growth in 2026. In terms of monetary policy, Federal Reserve officials believe that if inflation continues to decline in 2026, it is feasible to continue adjusting monetary policy, but it will remain unchanged for the time being. Looking at the data is the consensus of most Federal Reserve officials, which indicates that the probability of not cutting interest rates in January is very high. The next adjustment may be in March.
Looking back at the data of Bitcoin, the turnover rate has decreased significantly compared to normal working days, indicating that institutional and quantitative investors have lower participation, which should be due to holiday factors. At this time, the reaction of BTC price is more like the thinking of real investors. Although encountering the curse of $90000 makes it difficult for the price to continue to rise, the stability is still good, indicating that investors' emotions are still relatively optimistic.
The distribution of chips represented by URPD is also very healthy, but it feels that the bottoming out process may not be over yet. After paying attention for a period of time, loss making investors who are trapped at high levels remain very calm, which is also a guarantee of price stability.
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