彼得兔|Feb 10, 2026 04:13
BTC Market Analysis 2026.02.10
I mentioned the macro trend of BTC yesterday and currently maintain the same view. Now let's talk about the micro level, which refers to the recent market trends
The figure shows a one hour level candlestick chart of BTC. The black arrow represents the first wave of BTC's oversold rebound since 60000, and the correction from 722 onwards is aimed at the adjustment of the 60000 to 722 wave. After finding the adjustment endpoint, there is still a period of upward movement
Last night when it fell to 683, there was a cessation of behavior, so the community notified me to go long on a flat basis. This morning, seeing that the upward momentum was not strong, I decided to treat it as a short-term order for now.
BTC is currently likely preparing to run a range oscillation, with two possible outcomes in the future: red and blue
Red Route: Test the 677-675 line without breaking, narrow the amplitude, and then adjust upwards around 2.15 Gann time, starting the second upward trend. After completing the entire rebound of 60000 yuan, BTC will continue to decline
Blue Route: BTC will effectively fall below the 677-675 line in the next few days, which will lead to a deeper pullback. The 645 line is a possible adjustment endpoint, and the strength of the second upward trend will also be limited.
At present, BTC is still operating on the red line. Before breaking through/falling below the range this week, I will mainly focus on short-term trading in the low long and high altitude bands. I will consider heavy positions when there are signs of the end of the adjustment.
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