煌道 | 交易之道|Mar 28, 2026 03:34
3.28 The relationship between BTC bear market bottoms and RSI
1. In BTC's history, all bear markets occurred when the weekly RSI dropped below 30, indicating major oversold conditions.
2. In 2015 and 2018, BTC's weekly RSI below 30 marked the bear market bottoms. In 2022, it was around $17,000—not quite the bottom but close.
3. Each BTC bear market is getting stronger, while bull markets are getting weaker, leading to more instances and longer durations of RSI dropping below 30.
4. For this cycle, I don't think $60,000 BTC is the bear market bottom, but clearly, the rebound won't stop here.
#BTC #Crypto #RSI #BearMarket #BullMarket
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