KT is still strong, defeating GenG.
I noticed GenG's condition was off this time, so I bought one hand of KT at an average price of 51 and sold it at 98, making a profit of 1500.
But I saw that betting on a win would yield nearly 500,000 dollars, damn. @silverfang88 was also impressive, turning 5000 dollars into 50,000 in just three days of real trading.
Looking back at this wave, directly buying KT to win was basically the standard operation.
What’s even better is buying KT's championship probability, which shot up from 5.3 to 47, nearly a tenfold increase.
The best move would have been to buy T1 for the championship before the match. Because before the match, GenG's championship odds were close to 70%. If GenG defeated KT, it would eat into KT's pre-match 5% championship probability, likely not affecting T1's championship odds. However, if GenG lost, a significant portion of GenG's 70% probability would likely shift to T1, which was generally favored.
In other words, before the GenG vs. KT match, buying T1 with a 10% championship probability meant that if GenG won, T1's 10% probability would likely remain unchanged; if GenG lost, T1's odds would rise significantly. It was a highly cost-effective trade, damn, I didn't think it through last night.
The final result was that after GenG was eliminated, T1's championship odds rose from 10% to 40%, a fourfold increase, damn.
I regretted it so much; I only thought of it during the match this afternoon, and it was too late to act.
Looking forward to TES tomorrow.
Opinion #GenG



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