The world is bustling, all for profit; the world is bustling, all for profit to go! Hello everyone, I am your friend Lao Cui, focusing on digital currency market analysis, striving to convey the most valuable market information to the vast number of cryptocurrency enthusiasts. I welcome everyone's attention and likes, and reject any market smoke screens!

Recently, I have talked too much about trends, and most friends feel that interest rate cuts and quantitative easing are ineffective operations for the cryptocurrency market. Clearly, interest rates have already been cut, yet the cryptocurrency market has shown a contrary trend, leading many to believe that Lao Cui's analysis has significant issues. If we look at the conclusion, it is indeed true that this year's interest rate cuts have had no effect. Lao Cui mentioned this back when Trump took office last year; these are questions that do not require doubt. Since the bull market began last year, the main upward wave has already passed, and those who missed the critical nodes of 60,000-100,000 have basically lost the profits of this bull market. The current positioning can be said to be detached from the previous trends, and one can also recognize that this round of range trading is the turning point of the bull market, with the task of supporting the next round of bull market's opening range. The current listings of small cryptocurrencies have basically not played a positive role in the market and have not generated economic stimulus effects like Bitcoin.

These issues are very easy to understand. Whether it is interest rate cuts or quantitative easing, they are both phase-based stimuli, not real-time follow-ups. Especially with significant negative news impacts, whether it is interest rate hikes in China or Japan, people's confidence in the future is not as strong as it was last year. Only after facing tests will the market officially emerge, and the current situation of SOL is just like that. Under normal circumstances, the cyclical issues of interest rate cuts can generally be seen in the movement of funds after about half a month. The performance of gold and the U.S. stock market are the strongest competitors to the cryptocurrency market. For conservative friends, they are almost inseparable from gold. For more radical users, the U.S. stock market is also a good option, causing the cryptocurrency market to fall into an extremely awkward position. Although there has been a wave of support from the U.S. and various legal supports have been introduced, it has also caused divisions in various regions. Previously, the investment options in the cryptocurrency market were nothing more than three major platforms, but now each state, and even each country, has its own exclusive platform.

The dispersion of funds is also a consideration of national security issues, but this uncertainty of dispersion is also something that the giants should think about. Whether it is BlackRock or MicroStrategy, neither can maintain synchronization, and the benefits brought are no longer as volatile as before, leaning more towards stability. On the negative side, capital cannot be unified; where there are giants wanting to push up, there are also giants wanting to crash the market. The tug-of-war on both sides increases the uncertainty of the market. This is also why Lao Cui was able to accurately predict last year that Bitcoin would break through the 100,000 mark, while this year has seen many critical issues of mistakes. Predicting future market trends will only become increasingly difficult; competing with capital is essentially a game of seizing food from a tiger's mouth. Including the stablecoins that everyone can see now, decoupling for the U.S. is merely a matter of a statement. Since everyone has determined that the cryptocurrency market is a tool for them to reduce debt, then they must be prepared for that.

Of course, this issue is not something we should consider at the moment; even if it is about reducing debt, there will still be some distance. What Lao Cui can do is to try to observe the trends, which are currently very easy to grasp. Therefore, if you are entering the market, try to focus on the trend and do not consider short-term gains and losses. Clarifying where the value lies is where the profits lie. The value of the cryptocurrency market has not yet reached the expectations of people; more and more crypto companies are obtaining licenses from U.S. banks, which is a positive sign for the cryptocurrency market from the higher-ups. Including Tether's reserves of gold have also reached a historical high of nearly 110 tons, which is a positive aspect for stablecoins. USDCTreasury has minted 85 million USDC on the Solana chain. These positive news, whether for individual cryptocurrencies or the overall cryptocurrency market, are currently in a phase of accumulating energy, not a selling phase; the cryptocurrency market has a future.

At the same time, regarding concerns about economic trends, Lao Cui does not have too much worry, especially since the U.S. has confirmed that it will continue to increase the value of dollar assets, at least during Trump's term. The foreseeable trend is quantitative easing combined with money printing, and although Japan will take interest rate hike measures this time, it also shows signs of money printing. Looking back domestically, it has just been announced that it will continue to flexibly apply tools such as reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate cuts to stimulate economic growth. Europe does not need much observation; it will definitely follow the rhythm. The current competition is about who has a better ability to absorb funds; almost the whole world is synchronously easing, so what is there to worry about? Currently, keeping cash on hand only leaves one path to take, which is to endure this wave of depreciation. Do not think that if the dollar depreciates, we will appreciate; this appreciation rhythm cannot keep up with the decline in purchasing power. Even buying gold now has positive feedback, so one must be rational.

Lao Cui summarizes: There is still half a month left this year, and it is basically coming to an end; looking back, this year's profits are definitely far less than last year's. This is not a decline in ability, but the fluctuations in this year's market are indeed not large. Everyone should not focus on the current situation; this year, from Lao Cui's perspective, is more like solidifying the foundation, and next year will be the year of explosion. For contract users, it was also mentioned yesterday that the current market will basically revolve around the 90,000 mark for competition. The significant positive news has basically arrived this month; the next thing to watch is the change of leadership and interest rate hikes. If interest rate hikes land while the change of leadership is still far away, it will basically go down a bit, but the depth will not be too great. To look for short-term gains, the basic option is to short, but if you want to keep pace with Lao Cui, then Lao Cui will gradually choose to go long at lower points. This long position may take an incredibly long time to hold, as Lao Cui has currently staked all his spot holdings, with a staking period of six months. At this stage, Lao Cui does not expect to achieve the anticipated profits. At the end of the article, as always, feel free to ask questions, especially for contract users.

Original creation by WeChat Official Account: Lao Cui Talks About Coins. For assistance, please contact directly.

Lao Cui's message: Investing is like playing chess; a master can see five, seven, or even ten steps ahead, while a novice can only see two or three steps. The master considers the overall situation, strategizes the big trend, does not focus on individual pieces or positions, and aims to win the game. The novice, on the other hand, fights for every inch of land, frequently switching between long and short positions, only competing for short-term gains, and often finds themselves trapped.

This material is for learning reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading based on this is at your own risk!

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