Duo? Kong? Neither, judge the trend and do the trend!
Fixed trend, fixed point, fixed plan, the three in one!
The trading market changes in an instant, and the only thing that changes in an instant is human nature. Since you have chosen this market, you have chosen to face the complexity of human nature.
Greed, fear, arrogance, underestimation, blindness, regret~~~~~
The market is like a mirror, reflecting the various aspects of human nature.
Technical analysis is only a user manual, but there is no operational guide.
For example, take a single moving average. Many people know to go long when it goes up and short when it goes down, but at what point can you go long? Can you go long as soon as it goes up, or do you have to wait until it goes up a certain distance? And how much is that certain distance?
If the moving average is heading down, can you go long when the price goes up? Another example is the Bollinger Bands. Can you go long when the price touches the lower band? Does it count when the shadow touches it, or does it have to be the solid line? Can you go long when it touches at the opening, or do you have to wait until it touches at the closing?
It can be said that for any technical analysis method, there will be countless questions that need clear answers, and the process of getting the answers is a process of gradually adding filters to your own strategy. If you don't have filters, you are just using the user manual, and the result will definitely be a head-on collision. The more mature the filtering conditions, the more mature your strategy will be.
During this process, you will categorize various situations with high probability results, and then match each result with the corresponding capital management method.
Finally, just wait for the market to sound the horn for you to attack. Remember, the horn is blown by the market, not by you.
Every trader with a tragic ending likes to blow their own horn, and then complains indignantly, saying, "I've worked so hard, why can't I get the results I want?"
In summary: Technical analysis is a knife used to cut the market, and technical operations are about perfectly consuming the part that belongs to you after cutting. Investing without research is pure gambling, just like playing "cheat" without looking at the cards from start to finish, which will inevitably result in more losses than wins.
Fixed trend:
From the weekly K-line and 5-day technical analysis of Bitcoin, it looks like it's going to peak, peak, peak! Head and shoulders! Head and shoulders! I know saying this will definitely make a lot of people curse at me, but it doesn't matter! If you don't agree, just take a look, and then curse in your heart: what a fool!
The approval of Bitcoin ETF and Ethereum ETF is a conspiracy by the Americans, this is a harvest. At least by 2024, the price is almost at its peak. The market sentiment is consistently optimistic, 100,000, 150,000, or even 300,000, holding chips in hand, with firm belief, all waiting to cross the class, is it possible? Don't forget, the 28th law, will it make most people rich?
The conditions for a major bull market are not present now, at least for this year. The next few months will be a period of oscillation, decline, and washing out. Don't believe it? Let's wait and see! My approach is bearish! I'm here to cool down the market heat for you!!!
Fixed point:
On a large time frame, it is estimated that 73,800 is the top for this year. Even thinking optimistically, if it breaks the high and continues to drive market sentiment, 75,000-78,000 is the limit. If the short-term cannot reach 71,000, then the extreme price will not appear. If there is a chance to surge later, go to the range of 71,000-72,000, then the extreme price will appear. So in the short term, 70,000 can be used as a dividing line, going short below it or touching that price.
Fixed plan:
First level: Go short on Bitcoin in the short term at 69,000-70,000, as long as it doesn't break 71,000, and target around 66,000-65,000.
Second level: Go short on Bitcoin in the long term at 69,000-70,000, as long as it doesn't break 71,000, and target around 60,000.
Third level: If there is a breakthrough of the previous high to around 75,000, start building short positions in batches, and if it reaches 78,000, build the last position, and target exiting in batches at 50,000-40,000.
The above suggestions are for reference only, investors should make their own decisions and control risks!
How to dispel worries, only by getting rich! No snowflake in an avalanche is innocent, don't lose yourself in madness, protect your bullets, so you can strike at any time!
If you like it, please like and share, I wish you all the best!!!
V Bo - Band King Xiao Zhan
2024/5/25
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