The world is bustling, all for profit; the world is bustling, all for profit to go! Hello everyone, I am your friend Lao Cui talking about coins, focusing on digital currency market analysis, striving to convey the most valuable market information to the vast number of coin friends. Welcome everyone's attention and likes, and reject any market smokescreens.

Recently, the market trend has been almost entirely within Lao Cui's expectations. This article will not focus on the future trend; new highs will not be easily established. The interest rate cut in December is getting closer, and conservatives can wait for concrete news around the interest rate cut before attempting to enter the market. Today, I will first address the issue of bottom-fishing in small coins, and briefly discuss the overall trend in the coin circle. Users who hold some altcoins can patiently watch. As Bitcoin continues to set new highs, many altcoin users are also eager, seemingly believing that this bull market will allow everyone to break even. Lao Cui also finds it quite amazing that there are users who entered the altcoin market 20 years ago and have yet to exit, very concerned about being able to profit in the altcoin market during this bull run and accumulate some initial capital. For users with insufficient funds, Lao Cui mentioned earlier this year that many may have only recently started following me and may not have seen previous articles, so today I will reiterate the future trend of altcoins.

First, the return on investment in the coin circle is definitely Bitcoin > Ethereum > all altcoins. If you insist on using a few specific coins' price increases to negate Lao Cui's viewpoint, I admit that there are indeed some coins that have grown more than the former. This involves probability; since the establishment of the coin circle, thousands of coins have been released, and counting those that have been delisted, the number is countless. How can we ensure that everyone can become one of the one in ten thousand players? People’s understanding of the logic of financial markets is still quite chaotic. It is clear that behind every retaliatory growth of coins, there must be large funds driving it. If the capital pool meets the expectations of the major investors, this type of coin will definitely not grow again, and the speed at which the market makers offload will definitely be faster than everyone else. The rise and fall of small coins are completely controlled by the amount of capital, which is why most people cannot determine the peak of a coin, even with Bitcoin currently; no one can guarantee whether it will rise or fall tomorrow.

Do not think that issuing coins is particularly difficult. The current process of issuing coins does not actually consume too much capital. Give Lao Cui a team, and with a startup capital of around 5 million, a new coin can be created. Satoshi Nakamoto presented the entire operation and calculation process of Bitcoin in a paper; everyone just needs to follow the instructions to create a new coin. In simple terms, you only need to change some of the values. The cost of issuing coins is very low, while the cost of developing new channels is somewhat higher. For example, later coins like Ethereum and SOL have their own channels and core algorithm improvements, which are merely optimizations of Bitcoin's original essence. The technical difficulties are not hard from a professional perspective. This section is mainly to make everyone clear that the cost of issuing coins is not high. Currently, the high cost lies in the step of getting onto platforms. For example, if you want to go to a major platform, you must use their platform's token channels or stake their coins, which requires a higher cost. This is why coins that go online on major platforms generally increase their original prices, and there are basically no hundredfold or thousandfold coins; the increase in costs will lead to a decrease in the capital available to push prices later. The most difficult problem to overcome is to get everyone to recognize this coin. For example, the current SOL clearly uses technology that is a level above Ethereum, but due to synchronization issues, the price has always risen quite slowly. Even so, with technological innovation, it has managed to break out of the altcoin category.

Lao Cui still remembers recommending Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Binance Coin among the spot trades at the beginning of the year. SOL was not even on Lao Cui's radar at that time. The biggest concern was that the synchronization issue of SOL would not be resolved, and it wasn't until June that I started to let everyone enter SOL. If Ethereum had performed a bit better, Lao Cui might not have let everyone pay attention to SOL. Fortunately, I realized my mistake, and it was Ethereum that gave Lao Cui a wake-up call. After discussing the underlying logic and cost of issuing coins, the question of whether previously listed altcoins will return to historical highs becomes very easy to answer. Lao Cui's answer is that 99% of them will not touch the highs. Why? Because touching the highs means a change in the initial team. Many initial teams of altcoins have already given up on the coin market. For example, FIL, SHIB, and the so-called Dogecoin have not updated their technology for almost years. Their mindset is also very understandable; they cut and run without even a follow-up announcement. Especially for those who entered the altcoin market earlier, holding for a long time is not meaningful. Instead of having that patience, it is better to transfer the previous funds into a few coins that are surging at this stage. If the spot capital is insufficient to buy one Bitcoin, a tenfold leverage should still be used to enter Bitcoin or Ethereum.

For users seeking stability, wait for Bitcoin to break through the highs before entering Ethereum and SOL. Among small coins, most will follow the rise. Currently, coins that are not even showing signs of rising can be directly abandoned. Recently, Lao Cui has also been paying attention to some newly listed coins, but I won't mention which ones to avoid misleading everyone. Currently, many small coins are rushing to go online during this bull market. These types of coins can be monitored. The investment in newly issued coins is definitely greater than that in old altcoins, but the drawbacks of newly issued coins are also very obvious. Try to keep an eye on new coins from major platforms, and do not hold them for more than a week. Users with smaller ambitions can take profits after doubling; do not have illusions about your coins being able to increase a hundredfold. It is very difficult to find a hundredfold coin now. The capital volume for accumulating Bitcoin is so large that the investment in other coins is very limited. Newly issued coins do have growth potential, as long as you can control your greed, you can try to invest, but do not invest in old altcoins; the amount of capital they can accumulate is very limited. The initial teams hold too many coins, and once there is a certain rise that meets their expectations, they will dump at any time. FIL is a typical example.

Lao Cui has basically finished expressing his views on altcoins. If you still hold some old altcoins that are currently losing, take advantage of this bull market to clear them out. Investing in Bitcoin later can still recover some losses. That's all for altcoins; let's return to today's short-term issues. Lao Cui has mentioned multiple times regarding the current market trend that the new highs above will not be touched for the time being, and there will not be a deep correction below. The market has basically been fluctuating around 3000 points these past two days; just bottom-fish when it dips. I still do not recommend everyone to add to their short positions at high levels; you can trade back and forth, but once the market starts to change, everyone must be prepared to cut their short positions. There was a very important piece of news earlier that Lao Cui mentioned; everyone may not have paid enough attention, so they began to worry whether the market would suddenly crash. After Trump’s victory, he suddenly approved a trading platform to list Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs. These exchanges are all established securities exchanges, essentially opening a direct channel for traditional capital to flow into the coin circle. This is also the fundamental reason why the market has been rising without any corrections. Currently, there is a large amount of capital in Bitcoin looking to bottom-fish.

This has resulted in the current market trend, where every day is a back-and-forth wash around 3000 points, filtering out the indecisive and impatient users, and they do not dare to wash too deeply. Once a deep correction occurs, there will definitely be capital coming in to save the market; this could directly threaten their lives, and they will never allow themselves to be cleared out of the coin market. Our attitude towards capital is the same: we are waiting for an opportunity to start growing. So far, I can overturn Lao Cui's previous viewpoint; I was worried about the capital issue before the interest rate cut from November to December. Through the recent fluctuations in the US stock market and the performance of Old A, it is clear that traditional capital has begun to intervene in the coin circle. The outflow of funds from both has just created this round of increase in the coin circle. We can hold onto this investment in the coin circle until Trump takes office before making further plans. This is for spot users. Currently, all users in Lao Cui's hands basically entered around 70,000, and contract users entered at 84,000. These two groups of users can continue to hold; the highs will be much higher than everyone imagines. The only concern is the speculation around the interest rate cut, which may lead to a deep correction in the coin circle, but it will not affect the overall operation because after December, the news of Trump taking office will come, and it is then that everyone will witness the madness of the coin circle.

As for users who have not yet entered the spot market, you can wait for the right opportunity. Previously, I recommended users to enter at 80,000; you can wait for this round of correction before replenishing. For contract users, short-term trading is even easier; as long as there is a correction depth of 2000-3000 points, just go long, controlling profit positions around 1500-2000. If you are not sure about short positions, do not enter unless you are prepared to cut losses. Users without this mindset should not short. Currently, with Bitcoin, any positive news can lead to a breakout around 2000 points, while negative news does not necessarily lead to a deep correction. The battle for the 90,000 mark is also very fierce; almost all fluctuations in the past two days have revolved around this level. Everyone should not have the mindset that if it breaks below 90,000, they will go short. Even if there is a deep correction, you can give up this round of profits. After the correction, the overall direction will not change unless Trump suddenly changes his stance, but this possibility is extremely low. The Americans have already linked this three trillion market to Bitcoin through the Bitcoin bill, and this operation has brought them substantial profits. Even Trump's own children are preparing to step into the coin circle. The current trend will definitely be very favorable; as long as you can survive in the market, you will definitely profit. Old altcoins should be cut, and switching to Bitcoin will definitely bring surprises.

Original creation by WeChat public account: Lao Cui Talks About Coins. For assistance, please contact directly.

Lao Cui's Message: Investing is like playing chess; a master can see five, seven, or even ten steps ahead, while a novice can only see two or three steps. The master considers the overall situation and strategizes for the big picture, not focusing on individual pieces or positions, aiming for the ultimate victory. The novice, however, fights for every inch, frequently switching between long and short positions, only competing for short-term gains, resulting in frequent entrapment.

This material is for learning reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading based on this is at your own risk!

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