Original | Odaily Planet Daily (@OdailyChina)

Author | Nan Zhi (@Assassin_Malvo)

"Another thousand-fold golden dog appeared tonight," "I missed a hundred-fold after taking a nap." Have you ever experienced this? The golden dog always strikes when you're not around, and by the time you react, its market value has already exceeded eight digits. So, when do golden dogs appear most frequently? Is it necessary to be online during this period to have a chance? Odaily Planet Daily will review this in this article.

When do golden dogs appear?

We first take the top one thousand tokens by market capitalization from Pump.fun as our research subjects, obtaining the following token creation time points. Here, a creation time point of 0 means the token was created between 0:00-1:00 Beijing time, and subsequent points follow accordingly. From this chart, it is clear that after 21:00, the frequency of golden dogs jumps from 2% to 4% and continues to rise, peaking between 3:00-6:00 AM, then falling back to 2%-3% in the morning.

To verify whether this pattern is correct, we expanded our research subjects to include tokens in the top 200 and top 2000 by market capitalization. To provide a more intuitive representation, we added a bar chart as shown below. It can be seen that for the top 2000 tokens, the frequency of golden dogs also starts to significantly increase after 21:00, with a notable advantage during the 3:00-6:00 AM period.

Is there still a chance if you miss the night?

For most users, it is difficult to catch golden dogs during the early morning hours. So, if you miss the first wave in the early morning, is there no chance left? The author has compiled the intervals from the creation of the top 20 tokens to their first peak, as shown in the following chart. On average, it takes 52.7 hours to ferment to the first peak, while it takes an average of 58.7 days to reach the current top 20 status. This shows that even if you miss the opening, there is still plenty of time to get in.

(Note from Odaily Planet Daily: The timing of the first peak is determined subjectively by the author, as there is no objective statistical method for this. It is usually the turning point after a sustained rise followed by a drop of over 50%, or the inflection point after a one-hour surge of over 100% followed by stabilization.)

Data Source

The pump market capitalization rankings can be obtained through the pump frontend API, which includes over ten pieces of information such as token address, symbol, creation and end time, etc. For top tokens, this API can be used to retrieve data. The author has tested and confirmed that it can retrieve the top 2050 tokens by market capitalization.

For tokens not in the ranking, the creation time can be queried through the frontend API. The last transaction of this API is the first purchase transaction by the developer, which can be used to obtain the token's creation time.

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