Analyst Chen Shu: 11.26 Afternoon Bitcoin and Ethereum Market Strategy *1, First Time Breaking Key Support, Pay Attention to 9.45 Gains and Losses
On November 25, the afternoon analysis provided a long position strategy. Bitcoin suggested long positions at 9.73/9.65, and Ethereum suggested long positions at 3350/3300. A long position strategy was given again at midnight, with Ethereum successfully gaining nearly 200 points. Currently, Bitcoin has fallen below 95,000 USD; please see the following analysis for operational guidance.
From the daily chart of Bitcoin, yesterday closed with a large bearish candlestick breaking below the daily MA10 moving average. There was not much buying interest in the market, and the upward movement began to show signs of fatigue, resulting in yesterday's daily naked candlestick not closing with a lower shadow. Overall, as mentioned in yesterday's analysis, with the current break below the daily MA10 and the 4-hour MA60 moving average, this pullback marks the first time since this round of upward movement that it has broken this line. Attention should be paid to the strength of today's intraday rebound; if the rebound strength is weak, a short-term adjustment may occur. Additionally, the 1-hour MA256 moving average (9.45) should be monitored for gains and losses, and it is expected that the market will oscillate around 9.45 to choose a direction.
From the daily chart of Ethereum, yesterday again closed with a long upper shadow red candlestick. Although the price did not break below the daily MA5 moving average, the selling pressure above and the market's uncertainty regarding the current short-term bullish and bearish positions have led to divergence above 3500. Continue to monitor whether Ethereum's supplementary rally can remain stable above the daily MA5 moving average. For the 4-hour chart, simply pay attention to the gains and losses of the MA30 moving average; as long as it has not broken below, short-term long positions can be based on this line.
Afternoon Operational Thoughts (Written at: 14:00):
BTC: Light short near 9.6, add to short on rebound at 9.68, target 9.3-9.2; consider entering long in the 8.88-9k range.
ETH: Light long near 3380, target looking for 5-80 points; short positions can follow Bitcoin synchronously, with targets for both long and short positions being small.
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