The world is bustling, all for profit; the world is bustling, all for profit to go! Hello everyone, I am your friend Lao Cui talking about coins, focusing on digital currency market analysis, striving to convey the most valuable market information to the vast number of coin friends. Welcome everyone's attention and likes, and reject any market smokescreens.
To clarify, yesterday's article has been sent out, but due to its somewhat explicit content, many platforms could not pass it, causing most users to think that Lao Cui did not send it. Those interested can search in other places. This frequent washout market, in Lao Cui's perspective, is extremely normal. Many friends do not quite understand why, under numerous positive news, there is such a completely one-sided decline. Those who are a bit more attentive can find that Bitcoin's decline has always been accompanied by someone bottom-fishing. Especially yesterday, it was mentioned that Trump's wallet increased by about 1.7 million coins during a sharp downward trend. Why should everyone be confused? The bull market has not run away; it is still on the upward path. Overcome your inner thoughts, do not overthink. A reminder for spot users: do not focus on entering at the lowest price. Once this habit is formed, during a sharp decline, you won't be able to bottom-fish, so don't think about chasing highs when the bull market arrives. The price to refer to for entering the market at this stage is the price after Trump took office in January. As long as the January price is higher than the current price, entering in batches can lower your average cost!
Before hitting the 100,000 mark, and even after interest rate cuts, there may still be a certain scale of frequent washouts. Everyone must accept the occurrence of this market. For spot users, it actually cannot cause harm, but for contract users, it may affect certain short-term profits. Therefore, Lao Cui's basic strategy for most friends who are contract users is to operate under stable market conditions. If you want to short, focus on Ethereum; if you want to go long, wait for a wave of decline to bottom-fish Bitcoin. In the case of a big rise or a big fall, Lao Cui generally does not recommend everyone to operate unless it is in the form of pre-arranged layouts. As long as there is no pre-positioning, you can let this wave of profits go. This kind of market does not count as profit for most people; it is more about risk. Most users are basically losing in the face of sharp rises or falls. Currently, Lao Cui has looked at the opening habits of losing users, and surprisingly, some are still shorting below 91,000. Chasing rises or falls can only lead to self-withdrawal. You must get rid of the idea of chasing the market, especially chasing shorts. The retracement is only to allow the big players to buy at lower positions. Everyone should observe carefully; currently, only Grayscale holds about 800 Ethereum, while Lao Cui almost touched the 3,000 position in the last round of trends at around 1,200 Ethereum, which has already allowed everyone to take profits and exit. Without substantial capital support, do not amplify your inner desires!
From the perspective of capital volume, a large amount of capital has already entered the market at the 91,000 position this morning, but compared to the outflow, it is still far from enough. Nearly 100 million has flowed out within 24 hours, which is at the retail level. It can be said that the purpose of this downward trend has not yet been achieved, and there may be a wave of adjustments later, but the depth will not be too deep. Therefore, spot users should be prepared to seize opportunities. If you still have doubts about the interest rate cuts, then wait to enter the market after the cuts. The period from December to January after the interest rate cuts will see foreign trade settlements. Currently, due to foreign trade reasons, the Americans are vigorously pulling the exchange rate of the dollar. This exchange rate will definitely have a certain impact on the crypto market, as USDT is still pegged to the dollar at this stage. Converted, the impact of the exchange rate will at least cause a wave of 2,000-3,000 points of growth impact, and the depth of the retracement will basically be controlled at this position. The impact of funds in December will definitely be huge, as American and Western holidays are concentrated from December to January. Retail funds will see a certain withdrawal, including private equity funds and other organizations that need financial reports, which will definitely withdraw some assets for dividends. After the interest rate cuts in December, as long as a new high is created, everyone can choose to withdraw some of their chips to hand, waiting to bottom-fish again before Trump takes office.
The depth of this round of adjustments can be seen as bursting the economic bubble. In the next round of hitting the 100,000 mark, the competition phenomenon will not be too obvious, but when hitting the positions above 100,000, everyone needs to pay close attention to capital issues. The crypto market above 100,000 is extremely terrifying; the overall market value may reach around 4-5 trillion. Bitcoin's market value can directly rise to around 300 billion, which is a very scary figure. In the last round, all bull markets only brought the crypto market to the beginning of 300 billion, but this figure is definitely not stable. The strength of a market must be accompanied by the decline of other markets. And this volume of funds will inevitably absorb liquidity from the US stock market and the A-share market. Once these two focus on the crypto market, the countermeasures may be unimaginable. The decline of the last bull market was largely due to domestic card restrictions, which directly defined the crypto market, leading to a waterfall drop of 15,000 points in one day. Will this situation happen again? We cannot predict; it depends on the support of the Americans. The opening of Hong Kong is merely aimed at the layout of capitalism. Lao Cui believes that the crypto market will not easily open to the mainland, especially at this critical juncture. Preventing capital outflow basically defines the height of the crypto market. In the future, even if you are in a profitable state, you may still have to consider tax issues. If the tax issue is not resolved, the crypto market cannot exist in the public eye.
The previous paragraph was also somewhat explicit, and while talking, it is easy to touch on some content that cannot be sent. I hope this article can be seen by everyone. As an emerging financial market, the current momentum is too strong, which is indeed not a good thing for the crypto market. After this month, if we can welcome the interest rate cuts in December, the bull market will again reach the 100,000 mark. Spot users must not cut losses and leave the market, nor should they exit to protect their capital later. The upper space that can be imagined is still very large. Basically, all large funds entered around 80-90 thousand. The current washout is just filtering out retail investors. It is best not to easily intervene in shorting; this low position is suitable for spot users to bottom-fish. Even contract users can control their positions and use an ant-sized position to test the waters. The countermeasure is to enter the market in batches to lower the average cost, as long as you can wait for Trump's inauguration.
The last question is about the military aspect. Many friends are a bit confused after listening to Lao Cui talk about military matters. How can the Russia-Ukraine war lead to growth in the crypto market one moment and then a decline the next? The relationship on the military level is very delicate. Expanding the war only means an expansion of conventional warfare, which is beneficial for the transfer of funds in the crypto market. However, once it escalates to nuclear warfare, once it starts, there are no safe-haven assets, only essential goods for survival will have value. There is no need to talk about the crypto market; what can gold do? What can the US dollar and US stocks do? If it cannot be converted into the survival goods you need, it is worthless. Therefore, the impact on the military level will directly affect the survival of the crypto market. What Lao Cui means is that under normalization, the escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict will lead to growth in the crypto market. A side note: BlackRock has almost fully bottom-fished Ukraine's state-owned assets. Everyone should be clear about the reason for this layout. That's all for now. Users who need to enter the market can ask Lao Cui; the article is very thorough.
Original creation by WeChat public account: Lao Cui Talks About Coins. For assistance, please contact directly.
Lao Cui's Message: Investing is like playing chess. A master can see five, seven, or even ten steps ahead, while a novice can only see two or three steps. The master considers the overall situation and strategizes, not focusing on one piece or one territory, but aiming to win the game. The novice, on the other hand, fights for every inch, frequently switching between long and short positions, only competing for short-term gains, resulting in frequent entrapment.
This material is for learning reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trade at your own risk!
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