Actually, I've almost finished today's homework.

CN
Phyrex
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1 day ago

Actually, most of today's homework is done. My friends mainly want to know how the market is fluctuating, so I spent a lot of time discussing the potential impact of the upcoming non-farm payroll data on Friday. From the current perspective, regardless of market expectations or Bloomberg's data, the results are favorable for interest rate cuts, but for the economy, it depends on the market's interpretation. However, given the current situation, it seems a bit early to talk about a recession, so I believe as long as Friday's non-farm data is around expectations, there shouldn't be much of a problem.

Of course, we will only know how the market interprets it after it happens, but for now, many friends are saying they see 70,000 or 80,000, which I find a bit hard to believe. Although I am preparing to buy #BTC for the third time at $89,000, I still think it might not be reachable.

Tomorrow is a holiday in the U.S., and the stock market will be closed, so today's decline is likely a precaution against Friday's non-farm data. Interestingly, regardless of how the data comes out on Friday, it is very likely to be the opposite of Tuesday's job vacancies. The most explosive possibility is that the unemployment rate continues to decline while the labor force continues to rise, which is truly unavoidable, but it also represents a strong economy.

Returning to #Bitcoin's data, with the price decline, panic has indeed emerged. A large number of recent bottom-fishing losses are accelerating their exit, worried that prices will further collapse, while early investors are still in a wait-and-see mode. So although there is panic, it is limited to short-term investors, and the sentiment of earlier investors remains very stable.

From the support data, $95,000 is still a very good central point. Even the highest accumulation at $97,000 has not shown signs of collapse, which is one reason I think most investors' sentiment is still relatively stable. Next week, the support will be revised, and it should be adjusted downwards a bit.

Now we just have to see how Asian investors will react tomorrow morning. If Asian investors do not panic too much, the possibility of prices maintaining a range is quite high.

The data has been updated, address: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1E9awSVwrVOxKOiaMdYT5YZvfveeFd9ENU-iO6dVcGj0/edit?usp=sharing

This post is sponsored by @ApeXProtocolCN | Dex With ApeX

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