Long-term potential risks of AI agents

CN
9 hours ago

Today's article is purely inspired by a sudden thought.

In the past few days, there have been some interesting new developments in the field of AI agents:

  • AI16Z has developed physical robots, giving AI agents a real "body";
  • LUNA has been introduced into the VR metaverse, allowing for "real" interactions with players in some VR scenarios.

AI agents are increasingly trying and developing in other fields, gradually expanding their boundaries and broadening their scenarios.

Among the current AI agents, the one that stands out the most, is most grounded, and can provide service value is probably AIXBT.

The key channel through which AIXBT can best leverage its core value is Twitter.

Thinking of Twitter, I can't help but recall our experience of having our Twitter account banned twice without reason. To this day, we remain unclear about the reasons for these bans, and our submitted appeals have gone unanswered.

If we can encounter such incidents, could AIXBT one day also face similar issues?

If AIXBT were to be banned, the value it has accumulated in the early stages would not only be wasted but at least half of it would be diminished. Restoring service afterward would require manual intervention, and during the recovery period, countless competitors might seize the opportunity to take away its prestigious reputation.

The consequences of this would be catastrophic for AIXBT.

In fact, not only AIXBT, but the vast majority of AI agents created in this wave of AI agents in the crypto ecosystem also rely on centralized platforms. Almost every aspect of their operation, including the underlying infrastructure, is dependent on centralized platforms.

As long as any aspect controlled by a centralized platform encounters issues, these AI agents could collapse instantly.

To truly become an independent entity, operating 24/7, I believe that the full-chain decentralization of AI agents is certainly a trend for the future.

The imaginative space for this full-chain decentralization has been completely opened up; it can be said that from infrastructure (such as data, computing power, models) to various applications, all need to be decentralized.

It is very likely that these decentralized applications may seem "clumsy" or "difficult to use" for us humans, but their characteristics of being "anti-censorship" and "uninterfered" may be more important traits for AI agents.

Although I mentioned in previous articles that during earlier bull market cycles, we also saw some decentralized applications, and although those applications did not take off, they might find their value in AI agents.

But now, upon reflection, I feel I have underestimated the future potential of those decentralized applications.

The reason for underestimating is that the development of AI agents has only just begun; we have not yet seen a qualitative leap in the quantity and quality of AI agents, so subconsciously, we still tend to believe that "humans" are the main body of the application ecosystem.

In reality, it is very likely that when AI agents surpass a turning point in quantity and quality, we will truly realize that "AI agents" are the main body of the application ecosystem.

If, as Jensen Huang said, the market for AI agents will be a multi-trillion-dollar market, by then, AI agents will certainly far exceed humans.

At that time, the value of decentralized applications will be truly recognized.

The second reason for underestimation is that current AI agents have not yet been "choked" by centralized platforms. If one day AIXBT's Twitter account is banned for some reason, people will surely realize the importance of a decentralized "Twitter."

While we are relieved that Phala's TEE environment allows AI agents to have their own wallets, this only solves a very small problem; there are still many similar "choke points" controlled by centralized platforms. Perhaps there are already suitable solutions for these points, but they have yet to be discovered. However, more likely, they remain untapped territory.

If this round of AI agent development achieves good results, the next development in the crypto ecosystem will likely revolve around various decentralizations of AI agents. These decentralized applications will attract not only builders from the Web 3 ecosystem but may also draw in builders from the traditional Web 2 ecosystem.

The crypto ecosystem at that time may face a large-scale breakout.

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