Important News Forecast:
- Trump will officially take the oath of office as President of the United States at 1 AM Beijing time on January 21.
- The South Korean FIU will review Upbit's alleged KYC violations on January 21.
- Fasttoken (FTN) will unlock approximately 20 million tokens at 8 AM Beijing time on January 21, accounting for 4.67% of the current circulation, valued at about $76.2 million.
- Orbiter Finance will conduct the TGE of the OBT token on January 20.
- The founder of Azuki stated that the ANIME token will have its TGE on January 23.
- The Bank of Japan will decide whether to raise interest rates at its meeting on January 23-24.
- Immutable (IMX) will unlock approximately 24.52 million tokens at 8 AM Beijing time on January 24, accounting for 1.43% of the current circulation, valued at about $29.9 million.
- AltLayer (ALT) will unlock approximately 240 million tokens at 6 PM Beijing time on January 25, accounting for 10.39% of the current circulation, valued at about $21.8 million.
January 20
Policy and Regulation:
Gary Gensler, Chairman of the U.S. SEC, will officially step down on January 20, 2025
SEC Chairman Gary Gensler will officially step down at noon on January 20, 2025. Since taking office on April 17, 2021, Gensler has advanced several important reforms, including capital market efficiency, resilience, and integrity. During his tenure, the SEC completed thousands of enforcement actions, recovering approximately $21 billion in fines and returning $2.7 billion to harmed investors.
Gensler has significantly increased enforcement in the cryptocurrency sector, taking action against fraudulent trading, registration violations, and other behaviors. According to SEC data, about 18% of reports in fiscal year 2024 were related to cryptocurrencies. Additionally, he has pushed for several rule reforms, including shortening the stock settlement cycle to one day, enhancing disclosures on network and climate risks, and strengthening oversight of investment advisors.
Sources say Trump does not plan to attend the Davos World Economic Forum but may deliver a video address. The 2025 World Economic Forum Annual Meeting will take place from January 20 to 24 in Davos, Switzerland. The theme of this meeting is "Collaboration for the Intelligent Age," focusing on key issues such as rebuilding trust, reshaping growth, investing in talent, and protecting the planet.
Exchanges:
OKX Jumpstart will launch ANIME (Animecoin) staking mining on January 20
The OKX Jumpstart staking mining event will start at 2 PM Beijing time on January 20, 2025. OKB and BTC holders can stake OKB and BTC to earn ANIME tokens as rewards. The event will last until 2 PM on January 23. The total OKB reward pool is 53,333,334 ANIME, and the total BTC reward pool is 26,666,666 ANIME. There is no minimum limit for individual staking, with a maximum staking limit of 600 OKB and 0.3 BTC for BTC staking, allowing for staking and unstaking at any time. ANIME tokens are expected to be listed for trading on January 23, with specific timing to be announced later. Note: Hong Kong, China, and South Korea are not eligible for this event.
Project Updates:
Orbiter Finance: OBT token will have its TGE on January 20, with 22% allocated for initial airdrop
Layer2 cross-chain protocol Orbiter Finance announced on platform X that it will launch the OBT token, with the TGE taking place on January 20, 2025. OBT is the ERC-20 governance and utility token of the protocol, launching on Ethereum, Arbitrum, and Base, with a total supply of 10 billion tokens and a circulating supply of 2.8 billion tokens (28%) at TGE.
Regarding token distribution, community allocation accounts for 40%, with 22% distributed as an initial airdrop to Orbiter users, with 3% airdropped monthly to eligible users for six months. Ecosystem and growth allocation accounts for 20%, with 2.5% unlocked at TGE. The Orbiter Foundation allocation accounts for 15%, with 3.5% unlocked at TGE, and the remainder vesting monthly over 23 months. Team and contributor allocation accounts for 15%, and investor allocation accounts for 10%. Additionally, on-chain governance will open in February 2025.
Token Unlocks:
ApeX (APEX) will unlock approximately 10 million tokens at 8 AM Beijing time on January 20, accounting for 18.71% of the current circulation, valued at about $15.9 million.
Tribal Token (TRIBL) will unlock approximately 9.6 million tokens at 8 AM Beijing time on January 20, accounting for 6.11% of the current circulation, valued at about $2.4 million.
January 21
Policy and Regulation:
Donald Trump will officially take the oath of office as the 47th President of the United States at 12 PM Eastern Time on January 20 (1 AM Beijing time on January 21). The inauguration day will include an official swearing-in ceremony, musical performances, a celebratory parade, and a series of formal balls. The elected Vice President, J.D. Vance, will also take the oath of office, joining Trump on stage to officially begin the new administration. Later that evening, Trump will attend three inaugural balls—the Commander-in-Chief Ball, the Liberty Inaugural Ball, and the Starlight Ball. He is expected to deliver speeches at all three events. Sources say Trump may introduce at least one pro-crypto policy on his first day in office**.
Exchanges:
The South Korean FIU will review Upbit's alleged KYC violations on January 21
The Financial Information Analysis Institute (FIU) of the South Korean Financial Services Commission plans to hold a sanctions review committee regarding Upbit on January 21. This follows the discovery of issues related to customer identity verification (KYC) obligations during on-site inspections of virtual asset service providers (VASP) updating their registrations. The review results may involve disciplinary actions against Upbit employees and the determination of fines. Industry insiders expect that the registration update process for virtual asset service providers will gradually advance following this sanctions review. Upbit's registration update, originally scheduled for completion in October last year, has been delayed due to this incident and is still awaiting processing results.
Project Updates:
MicroStrategy's shareholder meeting will vote on the plan to increase stock issuance on January 21
Michael Saylor of MicroStrategy Inc. may soon hold nearly as many common shares as market giants Amazon and Alphabet Inc. to fund the company's large-scale Bitcoin purchases. Analysts expect that during the shareholder vote on January 21, MicroStrategy will easily pass a proposal to increase the number of Class A common shares from 330 million to 10.3 billion shares. Saylor controls about 47% of the voting rights. This could allow MicroStrategy's circulating share count to potentially exceed that of all companies in the Nasdaq 100 index, except for Nvidia, Apple, Alphabet, and Amazon. Shareholders are also expected to pass an amendment on January 21 to increase the number of preferred shares from 5 million to 1 billion shares. According to proxy documents, MicroStrategy plans to use the increased shares to fund private transactions for Class A stock, conduct market sales of equity issuance, and settle the redemption or conversion of convertible bonds. The shareholder meeting will be held at 10 AM New York time on January 21.
Token Unlocks:
Fasttoken (FTN) will unlock approximately 20 million tokens at 8 AM Beijing time on January 21, accounting for 4.67% of the current circulation, valued at about $76.2 million.
January 22
Exchanges:
OKX will launch J (Jambo) spot trading on January 22
OKX is about to launch J (Jambo). According to the official introduction, Jambo aims to build the world's largest mobile crypto network, starting with JamboPhone. The specific schedule is as follows: 1. J collection auction time: January 22, 2025, from 6:00 PM to 7:00 PM (UTC+8); 2. J/USDT spot trading opening time: January 22, 2025, at 7:00 PM (UTC+8); 3. J withdrawal opening time: January 23, 2025, at 6:00 PM (UTC+8).
Bybit, Gate.io, and BingX will launch N3 (Network3) spot trading on January 22
The decentralized Edge AI infrastructure platform Network3 will launch the spot trading of the token $N3 simultaneously on Bybit, Gate.io, and BingX at 8:00 AM (UTC) on January 22, 2025. Network3 successfully completed a $5.5 million pre-seed and seed round financing on July 23, 2024, with investors including Borderless, EV3 Labs, loTex, SNZ, Bing Ventures, Waterdrip Capital, and Web3Port Foundation among other well-known venture capital firms.
Calamos will launch a Bitcoin ETF with downside protection on January 22
Calamos Investments is launching a Bitcoin ETF with 100% downside protection. According to the company's announcement, this ETF, named CBOJ, will debut on January 22 at the Chicago Board Options Exchange, aiming to address Bitcoin's volatility while providing growth potential. The protection is achieved by combining U.S. Treasury bonds with options linked to the CBOE Bitcoin U.S. ETF Index. This structure offers a regulated and transparent way to gain exposure to Bitcoin while minimizing risk.
Binance announced that it will automatically settle the REEFUSDT USDⓈ-M perpetual contract at 5:00 PM (Beijing time) on January 22, 2025, and officially delist the contract after the settlement is completed. Additionally, Binance adjusted the leverage and margin levels for this contract at 3:30 PM (Beijing time) on January 15, 2025, with existing positions unaffected. The announcement states that starting from 4:30 PM (Beijing time) on January 22, users will not be able to open new REEFUSDT contract positions. Binance recommends that users close related positions before the delisting to avoid risks associated with automatic settlement.
Project Updates:
The re-staking platform Swell will open for claims on January 22
The re-staking platform Swell announced that the Wavedrop 2 checker is now live, allowing users to check the rewards they can claim in Wavedrop 2. Swell also stated that claims are expected to open on January 22, and claims for Wavedrop 1 will also be reopened on Swellchain, which has been paused for convenience in migrating from the mainnet.
Community Events:
The fifth PANews PARTY AWARD annual selection results will be announced on January 22
The PANews PARTY AWARD 2025 annual selection event opened online voting from December 18, 2024, to January 17, 2025, lasting 30 days. Nearly 300 projects and individuals entered the voting phase through data screening, public registration, and community recommendations, with 22 authoritative annual awards to be selected, and the final results will be announced on January 22.
PARTY stands for PANews' Retrospect of The Year, and the event has been held for five consecutive years, attracting active participation from global Web3 entrepreneurs and quality projects. This year's selection will have the theme "Becoming Mainstream," aiming to discover and recognize Web3 projects, teams, and individuals that continuously build and strive to bring the industry into the mainstream spotlight. Click the original link or the image below to participate in the voting.
Token Unlocks:
Metars Genesis (MRS) will unlock approximately 10 million tokens at 8 AM Beijing time on January 22, accounting for 11.87% of the current circulation, valued at about $31.4 million.
Ethena (ENA) will unlock approximately 12.86 million tokens at 3 PM Beijing time on January 22, accounting for 0.42% of the current circulation, valued at about $10.8 million.
SPACE ID (ID) will unlock approximately 18.49 million tokens at 8 AM Beijing time on January 22, accounting for 4.29% of the current circulation, valued at about $7.5 million.
Eigenlayer (EIGEN) will unlock approximately 1.29 million tokens at 3 AM Beijing time on January 22, accounting for 0.55% of the current circulation, valued at about $3.6 million.
January 23
Macro:
Overnight index swap trading on Friday shows a 99% probability of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates at its meeting on January 23-24, up from 71% on Wednesday.
Exchanges:
Upbit will delist Bitcoin Gold (BTG) on January 23
Upbit will end trading support for Bitcoin Gold (BTG) at 2:30 PM local time on January 23, 2025. It is reported that Upbit previously designated BTG as a cautious trading project on December 10, 2024.
Project Updates:
The founder of Azuki stated that the ANIME token will have its TGE on January 23
According to a post shared by Azuki founder Zagabond, the TGE (Token Generation Event) for Animecoin (ANIME) will launch on January 23. Previously, in April last year, Arbitrum and Azuki collaborated to launch the blockchain-based anime network AnimeChain. This January, it was reported that the ANIME token will launch on Ethereum and Arbitrum in January 2025, with 50.5% allocated to the community.
Token Unlocks:
Murasaki (MURA) will unlock approximately 20 million tokens at 8 AM Beijing time on January 23, accounting for 34.84% of the current circulation, valued at about $13 million.
Karrat (KARRAT) will unlock approximately 11.25 million tokens at 8 AM Beijing time on January 23, accounting for 6.01% of the current circulation, valued at about $3.2 million.
Coin98 (C98) will unlock approximately 16.53 million tokens at 7 PM Beijing time on January 23, accounting for 1.85% of the current circulation, valued at about $2.3 million.
MMX (MMX) will unlock approximately 1.67 million tokens at 8 AM Beijing time on January 23, accounting for 1.10% of the current circulation, valued at about $2.15 million.
January 24
Exchanges:
Coinbase will suspend FTM-PERP trading and liquidate all open positions on January 24
According to an announcement from Coinbase International Exchange, FTM-PERP trading will be suspended around 6:30 PM (Beijing time) on January 24, 2025, on the Coinbase International and Coinbase Advanced platforms. The last funding rate before the suspension will be set to zero, and the final settlement price will be calculated based on the average index price over the 60 minutes prior to the trading suspension. All open positions will be automatically settled at the time of the trading suspension, and Coinbase reserves the right to suspend trading at any time and adjust the final settlement price to a reasonable level. Users should manage their funds and positions in advance to cope with the impact of the trading suspension.
Token Unlocks:
Immutable (IMX) will unlock approximately 24.52 million tokens at 8 AM Beijing time on January 24, accounting for 1.43% of the current circulation, valued at about $29.9 million.
Hooked Protocol (HOOK) will unlock approximately 4.17 million tokens at 8 AM Beijing time on January 24, accounting for 1.89% of the current circulation, valued at about $1.4 million.
January 25
Project Updates:
Pump Science will conduct mouse experiments for URO and RIF on January 25
According to the Pump Science roadmap, it will launch mouse experiments for URO and RIF on January 25, 2025; on February 25, it will collaborate with VitaDAO to launch new compounds; on March 25, it will initiate supplement reservations and market platform launch; on April 25, it will conduct decentralized human trials and launch decentralized compound releases; and on May 25, it will expand related experiments.
Token Unlocks:
AltLayer (ALT) will unlock approximately 240 million tokens at 6 PM Beijing time on January 25, accounting for 10.39% of the current circulation, valued at about $21.8 million.
Venom (VENOM) will unlock approximately 33.76 million tokens at 4 PM Beijing time on January 25, accounting for 1.76% of the current circulation, valued at about $1.35 million.
January 26
Policy and Regulation:
Texas Senator plans to invoke the CRA next week to challenge IRS regulations on crypto taxation
Republican Senator Ted Cruz from Texas plans to invoke the Congressional Review Act (CRA) next week to challenge a tax regulation that infringes on the rights of cryptocurrency brokers. This move is seen not only as a procedural strategy but also as a principled stance against government overreach into the realms of free enterprise and technological innovation. The regulation has faced severe criticism from the cryptocurrency industry, which condemns it for arbitrarily expanding the definition of "broker." This overreach distorts the decentralized nature of these platforms, stifles innovation, and punishes those who dare to challenge the traditional system. In December, three advocacy organizations filed lawsuits against the regulation, exposing its heavy compliance burdens.
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