According to QCP Capital’s findings, the headline consumer price index (CPI) figures outstripped forecasts, whereas core CPI saw only a marginal uptick. This inflationary momentum has recalibrated investor psychology and reshaped projections for Federal Reserve actions.

Analysts at QCP Capital now project the first interest rate reduction of 2025 will materialize in December—signaling a tempered stance toward monetary easing. Within crypto markets, bitcoin (BTC) exhibited dramatic oscillations, per QCP’s report. The asset tumbled from $96.5K to $94K, erasing roughly $163 million in leveraged bullish bets.

Yet, a whirlwind recovery saw BTC climb back to $94K before vaulting to $98K in New York trading hours, securing a 4.4% daily advance. QCP emphasizes that such erratic price action demands nimble navigation, blending prudence with tactical agility.

QCP’s data highlights a tilt toward call options in derivatives markets, with short-dated contracts driving recent activity. The most contested strike prices hover between $97K and $100K ahead of Feb.’s expiration window. These maneuvers, QCP posits, reveal calculated bets by traders preparing for both breakout scenarios and potential retreats.

“On the options front,” QCP said. “Skew continues to favor calls, with the front-end dominating most of the flows, especially for this Friday’s expiry (February 14). Calls with strike prices between $97K and $100K have been the most popular in the last 24 hours.”

Political responses to elevated CPI metrics remain a focal point. While some anticipate renewed calls for rate reductions, QCP notes Fed Chair Powell will probably cling to an evidence-guided stance, deferring to incoming statistics. The firm’s dispassionate, granular dissection of trends equips readers with actionable intelligence.

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