The US stock market is now in a stage of irrational exuberance.

CN
Rocky
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11 days ago

The US stock market is currently in a stage of irrational exuberance, with rampant retail speculation and prices severely detached from value.

  1. Despite a 10% decline in NASDAQ EPS (earnings per share), the NASDAQ 100 index continues to rise! See 👇 Figure 1

  2. The dividend yield of the S&P 500 has reached the second lowest historical low, while deteriorating economic fundamentals are destroying everything, just a step away from a new historical low! See 👇 Figure 2

  3. The PB (price-to-book ratio) of the S&P 500 index has reached a historical high! See 👇 Figure 3

  4. Speculation is rampant. The daily options trading volume in the US has set a historical record of 53,000, with the extremely risky 0DTE (options expiring in one day) accounting for 55% of the total options market! See 👇 Figure 4

The US stock market has become too crazy. When the avalanche comes, no snowflake is innocent. Today's sharp decline in retail data 📊 seems to indicate that something is on the way! We need a rapid valuation correction, accompanied by localized panic crises, prompting massive liquidity injections and accelerated interest rate cuts, waiting for this moment to arrive! 🧐 Be a patient cheetah!

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