The world is bustling, all for profit; the world is bustling, all for profit to go! Hello everyone, I am your friend Lao Cui who talks about coins, focusing on digital currency market analysis, striving to convey the most valuable market information to the vast number of coin friends. Welcome everyone's attention and likes, and reject any market smoke screens!

There has been too much talk about trends, today I want to discuss some recent issues with everyone. Many users have approached Lao Cui with very basic questions, so I’ve organized some entry-level information for beginners. Most people who find Lao Cui are aiming for profit, and they immediately ask how much Bitcoin can reach this year. Such questions are difficult to answer, so I usually respond with a counter-question: Have you really understood Bitcoin? Do you really know the underlying logic of Bitcoin? Most answers are almost versions from ten years ago, mainly focusing on digital gold. The slogan of digital gold is already outdated; Bitcoin and gold are fundamentally two different concepts. Gold is a hard currency in the global financial environment, while the acceptance and synchronicity of digital currency are not strong. Traditional assets in today's world are primarily based on scarcity, not practicality. For example, prime real estate, rare metals, rare minerals, and cultural relics are all based on scarcity, and their practicality is not strong. Bitcoin has over 20 million coins, which is sufficiently scarce, and it possesses characteristics such as security and untraceability, creating miracles in finance.

The most valuable aspect of Bitcoin is its ability to disrupt traditional payment methods and systems, making it no longer subject to inflation, which is why many people regard it as the currency of the future. The development direction of future currency, which can be accepted by everyone, is the payment system of Bitcoin. There is no so-called Federal Reserve, and even no human intervention, which can perfectly avoid the drawbacks of traditional currency. The biggest problem we face now is synchronicity; we cannot persuade centralized individuals to give up their privileges, which can be seen as a class struggle, and the gray market has become the only refuge in the coin circle. This characteristic is something that other currencies do not possess. The emergence of small coins is merely an attempt to gain a share in this chaotic world. From yesterday's fluctuations, it can also be seen that Bitcoin's decline was the least, while small coins were a complete mess, and Ethereum's recovery speed became the fastest. Leading with SOL, it almost hit a new low this year. The investment market for small coins must be abandoned. I remind everyone again that the speculative market is not easy to navigate now; improper management can lead to losses of principal. Users with contract ideas must keep a close eye on Bitcoin, as making a profit of 3000 points back and forth is very easy to grasp, and today Bitcoin still has room for recovery. For Bitcoin, it means waiting for a big drop to buy the dip, and then waiting to exit with a profit of 3000 points. This method tests everyone's position management; do not underestimate the profit of 3000 points, as proper management can yield a profit space of around 5-10WU.

For spot users, it means waiting for a sharp drop to add to positions. You must have the opportunity to enter the first position. Do not think about going all in; waiting for growth must also be done in batches to offset the losses of the first position. Without the first order, there is no need to talk about subsequent profits. We cannot grasp the exact moment when a true bull market arrives; we just need to remember that the later stage of the bull market will still come. As long as we are in the market, we can profit. The interest rate cut issue is just waiting for the inflation problem in the U.S. to explode. Trump's continuous tariffs will definitely suppress the outbreak of inflation, and stopping interest rate cuts will also lead to internal conflicts. The confrontation between the Federal Reserve and Trump, we do not need to understand the final evolution process; we just need to focus on the target. Remember, there will not be only one interest rate cut this year. The current data must have issues; to see the real data, we can only wait for the statistical report after work. The data for the first half of the year will almost be consistent with last year, and the moment the data is released, it means that the problem cannot be solved. The real data may surprise everyone. This year there will be at least two interest rate cuts; the U.S. has no other way out. The corrections in the coin market and other markets are all part of normal financial recovery. We cannot think that we will always be in a bull market; accepting losses and hibernation is what we should do now.

Lao Cui has repeatedly mentioned in 2024 that the fluctuations in the coin circle may be the last wave. This series of chain reactions began at the start of the year. The future of the coin circle is indeed worth worrying about. Currently, Lao Cui's considerations are also based on the fluctuations of the overall financial market. To be frank, this wave of movement is almost the last big rise in the coin circle. After the U.S. plans, it may be difficult to break through again. The overall trend and direction will not have problems temporarily, but short-term fluctuations can easily manipulate people's hearts. Looking at the loss numbers, it is hard for anyone to endure the psychological torment. However, today Lao Cui must remind everyone that the best time to break even is definitely not now. Having already hit a bottom, exiting now will basically result in a loss. The recovery will come quickly, and then it will depend on whether everyone can seize this opportunity. You must overcome this psychological barrier; there will still be increases later. This week will provide opportunities for everyone to break even, and users who have incurred losses earlier should also seize this recovery opportunity to try to recover some losses.

Lao Cui summarizes: Overall, the short-term situation is not much different from our previous estimates. As long as there are no major positive news, the short-term situation will mainly be bearish. Lao Cui only focuses on Bitcoin; the decline of Bitcoin is within a controllable range, including Ethereum mentioned yesterday. Other coins are not within Lao Cui's consideration for contracts, and such declines are definitely unbearable. If you have small coin contracts, you must seize the opportunity to abandon them during this recovery. The current SOL and Trump coins also show signs; their initial prices have already been halved. Contracts are not something we can touch. Everyone must heed the advice to abandon the dream of getting rich overnight with small coins; even high-leverage Bitcoin is more cost-effective. Discussions on K-line levels can be halted; the current market is not something K-lines can explain. Indicators are basically useless; K-lines are just tools to assist in watching the market. Reviewing past performance is useful, but investment strategies should not focus on technical analysis. In the current financial circle, overall, there is no capital involvement. Declines will become the trend in the short term. Also, as mentioned yesterday, the highs are getting higher, indicating that volatility is increasing, and risks and opportunities are all emerging. In chaotic times, heroes emerge. The opportunity for contracts has appeared; today's strategy should focus on being bullish. The bottom of Bitcoin has not been broken; the trend is still there, so do not lose your composure. If anyone has questions about breaking even or entry points, position management can be discussed with Lao Cui before making a decision. Rest assured, it’s completely free; do not try easily. For spot users, just add to positions at the bottom; short positions are not in Lao Cui's layout. Currently, all positions are out of contracts, and I have already entered long positions at the current price. It will depend on the future trend; all spot positions remain untouched! Future entries will focus on short-term strategies!

Original creation by WeChat Official Account: Lao Cui Talks About Coins. For assistance, please contact directly.

Lao Cui's Message: Investing is like playing chess; a master can see five, seven, or even ten steps ahead, while a novice can only see two or three steps. The master considers the overall situation and plans for the big picture, not focusing on one piece or one territory, but aiming to win the game. The novice, on the other hand, fights for every inch of land, frequently switching between long and short positions, only competing for short-term gains, and often finds themselves trapped.

This material is for learning reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading based on this is at your own risk!

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