I completely agree with what Brother Wu said.

CN
Phyrex
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12 hours ago

I completely agree with what Brother Wu said. Currently, the best bottom-fishing strategy is to be gradual. Buying on dips may not be suitable for the current situation. It's important to note that the recent declines over the past two days are almost entirely related to "tariffs," rather than larger systemic negative factors. When I woke up at 8 AM, I saw Bitcoin's price still above $84,000, and by the time I woke up again, it had dropped below $80,000. The explanation for this is simply that panic in the Asian time zone led to a sell-off.

The panic can be attributed to the 40% (35%) tariffs on China, as well as the risk aversion ahead of tonight's core PCE data. Ultimately, it all boils down to uncertainty regarding monetary policy. If the dot plot in March continues to show two rate cuts, the market may feel somewhat reassured. If it shows more than two, market sentiment will improve, but if it shows less than two, market sentiment will inevitably worsen.

So, when I said in the early morning that we shouldn't follow previous expectations, it's because the short-term market is too unpredictable. Good macro data can directly pull us back into a bull market, while worse macro data can lead to an even sharper decline.

Therefore, if you have plenty of bullets, buying at any time is fine, as the bottom is sold, not waited for. If you don't have many bullets, it might be better to wait and see for key points.

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