On the fourth working day of this week, the outflow of BTC and ETH spot ETFs continues, but the outflow has slowed down. Some may say this is due to the decent core PCE data, but that data is from Thursday, which was when the drop was most severe, with #Bitcoin even falling below $80,000. Of course, I am not saying that investors have stopped selling; in fact, investors are still selling.
However, it can be seen that the panic sentiment is gradually dissipating. Please do not misunderstand this; it does not mean that there is no panic anymore, but rather that the most panicked moment has temporarily passed. The remaining investors have certain expectations regarding the tariff issues, so the number of investors leaving due to panic is decreasing. However, if today's core PCE data is not optimistic and inflation continues to rise, I believe Friday's data will be even worse.
Although the core PCE data is somewhat optimistic, there are still many challenges ahead, one of which is the unemployment rate and another is the dot plot. The dot plot, in particular, basically determines the sentiment for the second quarter. Many may have already seen that the GDP announced in April may not be optimistic enough, which indicates that the U.S. trading recession or expected recession is about to begin again.
Therefore, for the entire year of 2025, it may be that Q1 has a chance to be somewhat optimistic, and Q4 has a chance to rebound, while everything else remains uncertain.
In yesterday's data, BlackRock was still the main seller, while other ETF institutions have reduced their selling.
The data has been updated, address: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1N8YIm1ZzDN197hMAlkuvH3BgFb8es0x1y4AJLCbDPbc/edit?usp=sharing
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