Setting price targets is meaningless; the market is composed of multiple parties, especially since some have the ability to manipulate the market from various angles, so what you say doesn't count.

Referring to the past is not very meaningful either; the last cycle and the one before it were different, and this cycle is completely different from the last one… So far, the four-year cycle remains effective.

Therefore, the key is to observe the characteristics of bear markets and bull markets. First, you need to know how to buy. Buying at low points basically guarantees no loss; it's just a matter of earning more or less. What are the characteristics of a bear market? The ark999 index is a good reference, and large-scale liquidations and scandals like Luna and FTX are also typical features of the bear market bottom.

Similarly, what are the typical characteristics of a bull market? The last cycle featured Dogecoin and Shiba Inu, and CZ became the richest person among Chinese people (it seems like everyone in the crypto circle became a billionaire). This cycle, however, is marked by Trump's election and even the issuance of coins.

Is this top signal necessarily a peak, or is it just a continuation? At this point, market liquidity can be referenced. In fact, liquidity has been slowly declining since the beginning of 2024. The two price surges of Bitcoin, one was due to the ETF and the other was due to Trump's election, both had speculative components.

Will there be a second peak in 2025? This still depends on how Trump, JP, and Da Da arrange things. Let's wait for more news.

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