I originally didn't want to reply, but seeing my friends discuss it more, I can't help but say something.
I started writing about being optimistic for Q4 of 2024 and Q1 of 2025 during the garbage time of 2024. When it was nearly $110,000, I said this, and when it was at $78,000, I still said the same.
It's quite interesting, there are two groups of people. One group mocked me for being optimistic about Q1, and every time there was a drop, they would message me asking if I still believed in Q1. I wrote a new pinned article explaining why I was optimistic about Q1.
Now another group is saying I'm just making predictions after the fact. Come on, are you all just one group? Is everything I say wrong?
Yes, when it dropped below $82,000, I said I had no intention of bottom fishing. I gave my reasons, all based on emotions. I was worried that a core PCE data shock could lead to buying at a high point, but when it first dropped to $88,000, didn't I bottom fish?
After the core PCE, I said the sentiment improved, and I also mentioned that the Russia-Ukraine conflict could offset tariff issues. Even when it was only $82,000 at that time, I still said I was optimistic about Q1. All the tweets are there; can't you just take a look?
Honestly, I don't want to write this stuff. It not only seems pretentious but also wastes time. But it's true that rumors spread easily, and debunking them takes effort. If you ignore it, the number of people stirring up trouble just increases. I really mean it, if you dislike me so much, just unfollow me. Go ahead, block me; that would be fine. Isn't it too cheap to criticize while taking advantage? I respect you as a person, so please just block me and have some self-respect.
Finally, if you made money and never shared any with me, why should I be responsible for your losses? I won't go far back, but during this ETF wave and the election wave, I publicly said several times that bottom fishing could make money. The last time was probably around $86,000. At least now you could still make some pocket money.
If you still aren't making money and come here to insult me every day, I can only say you deserve it; you won't even be able to afford four dishes in this life.
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