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Although it is said that whether it is a bull market or not is not important

CN
Phyrex
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1 year ago
AI summarizes in 5 seconds.

Although it is said that whether or not it is a bull market is not important, from the perspective of the economic cycle, it indeed does not belong to the traditional sense of a bull market. This has little to do with Bitcoin rising from $16,000 to $100,000. The main factors of a bull market are:

  1. A monetary easing environment

  2. Near-zero low interest rates

  3. Quantitative easing and/or balance sheet expansion

  4. The economy is developing positively

  5. A decline in the dollar index

  6. Government policy stimulation

The essence of these six points is the stimulation of liquidity, meaning that the "water" in the market is abundant, rather than a reduction in market funds. At the same time, due to the decline in the dollar index, more investors will increase their risk appetite and be willing to invest in high-risk assets.

Zero interest rates are often accompanied by abundant liquidity and policy easing, such as balance sheet expansion. Therefore, during such times, the stimulation for risk markets is significant. For example, 2021 was such a case, marked by unprecedented monetary easing, which drove the overall rise of U.S. stocks and cryptocurrencies.

I know many friends disdain lengthy discussions, believing that anything without a bullish or bearish stance is nonsense, but in reality, this is economics. It may be obscure and may contradict some intuitive feelings, but the facts are indeed so.

As for whether it is a bull market, my opinion does not count; you can judge for yourself. If you think it is, then it is; if you think it is not, then it is not. It has nothing to do with me.

This post is sponsored by @ApeXProtocolCN | Dex With ApeX

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震荡行情滑点大?去Bybit体验极速现货撮合!
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Selected Articles by Phyrex

3 hours ago
The weekend was as expected.
4 hours ago
This statement is consistent with the bullish and bearish judgment given by GlassNode's NUPL data.
5 hours ago
I think this friend's private message question is very representative.
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The weekend was as expected.
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I think this friend's private message question is very representative.
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