Bitcoin experienced a slow and slight oscillation recovery on Thursday and Friday, with bearish sentiment easing (this aligns with my personal analysis after the weekly K update, where I expected a decline followed by a rebound and recovery). The low long position strategy laid out in the early hours of the 13th was also perfectly validated.

Currently, the new weekly K chart shows that the overall trajectory of the BOLL band is beginning to narrow, with the price continuously operating near the lower band. Although the TD indicator has reached TD6, the continuous rise of the lower band provides short-term bullish confidence. Additionally, the gap between the price and the MA5-day moving average has not been repaired for a long time, so this week we will naturally first look at whether the rebound can break through the weekly K MA5-day moving average resistance. (Moreover, with the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting early Thursday morning, I personally expect the Fed's statements to be not too aggressive, considering the significant declines in the U.S. stock market and the crypto market in February and March. A slight easing would be beneficial for the future market. Of course, we will take it step by step.)

From a daily chart perspective, after last week's downward spike, Bitcoin's K line is inclined towards a slight rebound and oscillation recovery. The MA5 and MA10-day moving averages are starting to flatten, and the pressure from the BOLL band middle track and MA30-day moving average is easing. The MACD and KDJ indicators are leaning towards a short-term oscillation with a bullish sentiment. The current key resistance on the daily chart is around 85200. Once this position is strongly broken, the bulls can test the resistance at the weekly K MA5-day moving average, with the price reference around 89000.

On the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin is currently inclined towards a range oscillation trend, with the price relying on the MA30-day moving average for slight oscillation and rebound recovery. The indicators show that the MACD and KDJ indicators are resonating upwards, and the upper track of the BOLL band shows a desire to rise. Combined with the hourly chart, the current market trend is inclined towards a slight oscillation with a bullish bias. Bitcoin must stabilize above the 85200 level for the bulls to open up space. Therefore, for the early morning and morning closing, if the short-term price retraces and cannot effectively break below the 82500 level, one can consider a short-term long position. Operation strategy: Bitcoin: Buy at 83000-83500, target: 85000, spike to 88000, stop loss: 82500.

Ethereum's recent performance has been quite poor, with reduced trading volume and a certain resistance around 1960 in the short term. The short-term trend basically follows Bitcoin, so the outlook is consistent, and a short-term long position can be taken. Operation strategy: Buy at 1910-1880, target: 1955-2030, stop loss: 1875.

For now, this is the outlook, and I will continue to update.

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