Trading Moment: 15 projects initiated buybacks, Bitcoin and US stocks show a correlation at multiple volatility levels.

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Trading Moment: 15 Projects Initiate Buybacks, Bitcoin Shows Multiple Volatility Correlation with US Stocks

1. Market Observation

Keywords: MOVE, ETH, BTC

A "buyback wave" has swept through the crypto industry, with 15 projects including Aave, Arbitrum, and Movement announcing token buyback plans, with amounts ranging from millions to tens of millions of dollars. The sources of buyback funds include protocol revenue, seized assets, and fund expenditures. This move is not only a temporary measure to stabilize the market but is also seen as an important strategic layout for projects to reshape token economics and provide long-term value. Meanwhile, Immutable has received a notice of termination of the SEC investigation, bringing a clear regulatory signal to the Web3 gaming industry.

Bitcoin's price continues to show a high correlation with the US stock market, with volatility maintaining several times the level of US stocks. Investors on both sides are focusing on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations. Analyst Daan Crypto Trades points out that Bitcoin is currently maintaining a solid spot premium trading situation. If it can maintain this level and slowly rise above $90,000, it is expected to create new highs. The Greeks.live community briefing shows that there is a divergence in market sentiment regarding cryptocurrency trends, with some investors believing it is suitable to buy on dips, while bears expect Bitcoin to potentially drop to the $84,500 range.

In the regulatory field, the SEC announced it will hold four roundtable discussions from April to June 2025, covering key topics such as crypto trading, custody, asset tokenization, and DeFi. Commissioner Hester Peirce referred to this move as a "spring sprint towards crypto clarity," indicating that regulatory agencies are shifting from enforcement-oriented approaches to constructive dialogue. Notably, traditional financial institutions are increasingly accepting Bitcoin, with the GameStop board unanimously approving an update to its investment policy to include Bitcoin as one of the company's reserve assets. Additionally, the Oklahoma House of Representatives passed the "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act," further reflecting institutional and governmental recognition of Bitcoin. Furthermore, Ripple has reached a preliminary settlement agreement with the SEC, with the SEC agreeing to refund $75 million in fines, marking the imminent end of their long-standing legal dispute.

On a macro level, the market generally expects the Federal Reserve to shift from quantitative tightening (QT) to quantitative easing (QE), which could inject new liquidity into the financial markets. However, Benjamin Cowen, CEO of crypto research firm IntoTheCryptoVerse, warns that quantitative tightening has not completely ended, but rather the scale has decreased from $60 billion to $40 billion per month. Additionally, a recent Goldman Sachs report warns that the upcoming announcement of reciprocal tariff policies by Trump could lead to "sharp fluctuations followed by stabilization" in the market, with actual tax rates potentially reaching twice the market expectations.

Trading Moment: 15 Projects Initiate Buybacks, Bitcoin Shows Multiple Volatility Correlation with US Stocks

2. Key Data (As of March 26, 13:30 HKT)

  • Bitcoin: $87,346.87 (Year-to-date -6.65%), Daily Spot Trading Volume $28.634 billion

  • Ethereum: $2,055.65 (Year-to-date -38.48%), Daily Spot Trading Volume $11.309 billion

  • Fear and Greed Index: 47 (Neutral)

  • Average GAS: BTC 1.4 sat/vB, ETH 0.36 Gwei

  • Market Share: BTC 60.7%, ETH 8.7%

  • Upbit 24-hour Trading Volume Ranking: MOVE, XRP, LAYER, BTC, CRO

  • 24-hour BTC Long/Short Ratio: 1.0496

  • Sector Performance: Meme sector up 4.74%, Layer2 sector up 4.62%

  • 24-hour Liquidation Data: A total of 78,970 people were liquidated globally, with a total liquidation amount of $154 million, including $32.8 million in BTC and $24.22 million in ETH.

Trading Moment: 15 Projects Initiate Buybacks, Bitcoin Shows Multiple Volatility Correlation with US Stocks

3. ETF Flows (As of March 25 EST)

  • Bitcoin ETF: $26.83 million

  • Ethereum ETF: -$3.21 million

4. Today's Outlook

Today's top gainers in the top 500 by market cap: WhiteRock (WHITE) up 64.41%, Movement (MOVE) up 29.04%, Gigachad (GIGA) up 26.88%, Particle Network (PARTI) up 25.61%, Solayer (LAYER) up 17.92%.

Trading Moment: 15 Projects Initiate Buybacks, Bitcoin Shows Multiple Volatility Correlation with US Stocks

5. Hot News

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