Trump emphasized a day ago that he would not suspend tariffs but quickly "backtracked," implementing a 125% tariff only on China while suspending tariffs on other countries for 90 days, retaining only a 10% base tariff.

The market viewed this as a significant easing signal, with the Nasdaq and S&P rebounding strongly, and the VIX plummeting from 57 to 33. Some institutions have lowered the probability of a U.S. economic recession. However, the 25% auto import tax remains in effect, combined with the 10% base tariff, keeping inflationary pressures intact, particularly impacting the used car market.

The CPI and PCE data for May are unlikely to reflect the full impact, which will gradually become evident starting in June. The Federal Reserve's minutes show no intention of an early rate cut, still relying on future employment and economic data.

The market rebound has led to a slight increase in turnover, with short-term investors being the main participants, while long-term holders remain on the sidelines. A new accumulation zone has formed around $83,000, creating a "bottoming" pattern. Investors in the $93,000 - $98,000 range are very stable, with only a minimal turnover; even if BTC retraces to $74,000, there is no panic, indicating that there is currently no strong pressure in this area.

This market rebound is of a relieving nature, not a trend reversal.

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