Today's market rebound is more of a technical correction to yesterday's excessive decline. The strong rebound in the U.S. stock market has driven Bitcoin back up to around $91,000, and the VIX has fallen below 30, indicating a temporary easing of market sentiment.
However, there is no significant improvement on the policy front, and investors are showing signs of fatigue regarding the game between Trump and Powell. The real trend will still be determined by the GDP data at the end of the month. Although mainstream assets like the U.S. stock AI sector and Bitcoin benefit from concentrated capital, small and mid-cap assets and altcoins remain under pressure due to insufficient liquidity.
Bitcoin's turnover rate has increased, indicating that short-term funds are exiting at high levels, while long-term holders are remaining on the sidelines. The current support ranges are between $81,500 to $88,000 and $93,000 to $98,000, with the latter being particularly solid. Overall, while there may be upward opportunities in the market before a shift in monetary policy, it is still too early to talk about a reversal.
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