1. IMF Predicts 40% Chance of U.S. Recession in 2025

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) stated that the probability of the U.S. entering a recession in 2025 is 40%, up from 27% predicted last October.   -Original

2. Musk's Retweet of Bitcoin-Related Tweet Sparks Discussion

Musk retweeted a post by @Rothmus featuring a Bitcoin laser eyes image, captioning it with "The best economist in history" in reference to the story about economist Milton Friedman.  -Original

3. Trump Media Plans to Launch Crypto ETF

Trump Media Technology Group (DJT.O) has signed a binding agreement with cryptocurrency exchange Crypto.com and asset management firm Yorkville America Digital to launch a series of ETFs under the Truth.Fi brand. This agreement follows a non-binding agreement signed by the companies in March this year. The law firm Davis Polk & Wardwell LLP will provide consulting services for product development and launch. These ETFs will be offered through Crypto.com's brokerage subsidiary Foris Capital US LLC and are expected to include digital assets as well as securities from diversified industries with "Made in America" features, including energy. Following regulatory approval, these funds are expected to launch later this year and will be widely available in international markets, including the U.S., Europe, and Asia, covering existing platforms and brokers. These ETFs are planned to be launched alongside a series of Truth.Fi separately managed accounts (SMA). TMTG plans to invest in these ETFs and SMAs using its own cash reserves, as part of TMTG's financial services and fintech strategy, which will utilize up to $250 million in funds, managed by Charles Schwab.   -Original

4. U.S. Stock Market Opens Strong

The U.S. stock market opened with the Dow up 410 points, the Nasdaq up 184 points, and the S&P 500 up 1.02%.  -Original

5. Citigroup Says Trump Will Not Fire Powell

Odaily Planet Daily reports that Citigroup's chief economist stated that Trump will not fire Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, saying, "This boundary will not be crossed."  -Original

6. European Central Bank Expresses Concerns Over U.S. Crypto Policy

The European Central Bank (ECB) has expressed concerns over the U.S.'s aggressive policies supporting the cryptocurrency industry, warning that the surge of dollar stablecoins could undermine the stability of the European financial system. The ECB has called for amendments to the recently implemented Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA). The bank fears that U.S. reform initiatives under Trump's support could lead to an influx of dollar stablecoins into the European market, resulting in capital outflows from Europe to U.S. assets, thereby harming the EU's financial sovereignty and exposing banks to liquidity risks. Some officials believe these warnings are somewhat exaggerated. Two diplomats and one EU official stated that despite the U.S. plans to introduce the Stablecoin Transparency and Accountability Act (STABLE) and the U.S. Stablecoin National Innovation and Establishment Act (GENIUS), the existing MiCA framework is sufficient to manage stablecoin risks.  -Original

7. Michael Saylor Claims SEC Chair Has Positive Attitude Towards Bitcoin

Michael Saylor stated, "SEC Chair Paul Atkins will have a positive attitude towards Bitcoin." Previously, it was reported that Paul Atkins was sworn in to replace Gary Gensler as the SEC Chair.     -Original

8. MoonPay CEO Hints at Possible Stablecoin Launch

Ivan Soto-Wright, CEO and co-founder of crypto payment infrastructure MoonPay, stated in an interview with CoinDesk that while it has not been confirmed, a MoonPay stablecoin may be in preparation.  -Original

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