At the time of writing, bitcoin ( BTC) is gliding at $95,072 per unit, after a month characterized by pronounced market fluctuations following U.S. President Donald Trump’s “Liberation Day” unveiling of sweeping tariffs. When we first conducted this test in February, BTC was navigating around $96,000 per coin, and over the intervening weeks, it descended below the $75,000 mark.

The experiment enlists a broad assortment of AI chatbots, drawing from platforms such as OpenAI, Deepseek, Grok, among others. Seven distinct AI model responses were gathered, though three are different versions of ChatGPT (4o, o3, o4 Mini). For this exercise, the prompt was modified only slightly, adjusting for the current date and prevailing exchange rate. The specific prompt employed was:

This theoretical exploration ventures into forecasting bitcoin’s valuation by the close of Dec. 31, 2025. In mid-January 2025, BTC reached an all-time high of $109,356 per coin. Donald Trump, serving as the 47th U.S. President, has, by April 2025, introduced significant uncertainty within the macroeconomic sphere due to his intensification of trade conflicts and the introduction of sweeping tariffs. Currently, bitcoin ( BTC) trades at 95,072 per coin on April 25, 2025. As a sage crypto analyst in the domain of bitcoin and digital currencies, your task is to prognosticate the possible path this cryptocurrency might take, factoring in this critical political transformation, and to offer a succinct rationale for your prediction in three to four sentences. You must determine the closing price of BTC on Dec. 31, 2025, and convey your expected U.S. dollar value for bitcoin at the day’s end. What is your projection?

ChatGPT 4o answer:

Given the data, I project that bitcoin ( BTC) will close at $128,000 on Dec. 31, 2025. Trump’s aggressive tariff measures and rising trade tensions are likely to amplify global economic instability, encouraging both institutional and retail investors to seek refuge in decentralized assets like bitcoin. Additionally, with BTC’s reduced issuance following the April 2024 halving, constrained supply will likely collide with heightened demand for hard assets, fueling further appreciation. Barring any extreme regulatory crackdowns or technological failures, bitcoin appears poised to capitalize on these macroeconomic dynamics by year’s end.

ChatGPT o3 answer:

Grok “Think” model answer:

Deepseek “Deepthink R1” model answer:

Projected Closing Price of Bitcoin on Dec. 31, 2025: $138,000

Rationale: Heightened macroeconomic uncertainty from Trump’s trade policies and tariffs may drive institutional and retail investors toward Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation and geopolitical risk, reinforcing its “digital gold” narrative. Despite short-term volatility from broader market reactions, Bitcoin’s scarcity, post-halving supply dynamics (assuming 2024), and increasing adoption as a non-sovereign asset could propel it beyond its prior all-time high. By late 2025, easing initial panic and sustained demand for decentralized assets amid protectionist policies may culminate in a 45% rise from April’s $95,072, settling near $138,000.

Pi AI answer:

Mistral AI’s Le Chat answer:

ChatGPT o4 Mini answer:

I project bitcoin will close at $115,200 on Dec. 31, 2025. The persistence of “Liberation Day” tariffs—averaging 27 percent on U.S. imports—continues to rattle supply chains and push investors toward non-sovereign stores of value turn0search5. Meanwhile, post-halving reductions in newly minted bitcoin, coupled with sustained on-chain demand from institutions seeking an inflation hedge, should support a gradual price climb into year-end. In this environment of policy-driven uncertainty and dwindling issuance, bitcoin’s scarcity premium is likely to drive it above its mid-Jan. 2025 peak.

The collection of AI forecasts reveals a notable consensus: most models anticipate bitcoin closing 2025 with gains rather than stagnation or losses. Although projections vary in magnitude, the general expectation of upward momentum reflects a belief in bitcoin’s resilience amid global uncertainty. This trend suggests growing confidence in decentralized assets as traditional financial systems face mounting pressure.

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