⚠️ Trump wants to lower interest rates quickly, but market data simply does not allow it —

Every economic data release since May 1 has reduced the likelihood of the Federal Reserve rapidly lowering interest rates.

The next FOMC meeting where the probability of a rate cut exceeds 50% is on September 17. If this trend continues, the rate cut is likely to be postponed until December.

So no matter how much Trump urges, Powell remains indifferent —

The hope for re-election has been cut off by the Supreme Leader, and if the rate cut becomes uncontrollable, it could be blamed on the Supreme Leader. Powell's technical style tends to favor waiting for data to mature before suddenly applying a strong remedy;

There is no motivation to do this, either publicly or privately. It’s better to play with expectations and smoothly finish the term.

Be patient, it’s only a matter of time!

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