Tracking real-time hotspots in the crypto world and seizing the best trading opportunities. Today is Friday, May 16, 2025. I am Wang Yibo! Good morning, crypto friends! ☀️ Die-hard fans, come check in! 👍 Like to boost your financial luck! 🍗🍗🌹🌹

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[Crypto Market: Volatile May, Bull and Bear Perspectives Clash]

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The crypto market is known for its rapidly changing hotspots. As we enter the latter half of May, the market has seen three consecutive days of pullback, with intense clashes between bullish and bearish viewpoints. Some assert that the bull market has ended, while others firmly believe this is merely a normal profit-taking and market shakeout. From a professional perspective, the foundation of the bull market has not been shaken — if Bitcoin can hold its key support level of $100,000, the upward trend can continue; and as Ethereum serves as a barometer for the altcoin market, as long as it maintains the support range of $2,280 - $2,320, the overall pattern of altcoins will remain stable.

It is worth noting that the altcoin sector is currently experiencing a strong rotation. The fan token sector is performing robustly, continuously hitting new highs; the meme sector is about to complete its pullback and may welcome a new round of explosive growth. The market is ever-changing, and focusing on professional analysis is essential to seize the bull market opportunities in the latter half of May. Remember to follow Yibo for exclusive market insights!

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[U.S. Stock Market Dynamics: Diverging Indices, Crypto Concepts Rise Against the Trend]

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On Thursday, the U.S. stock market showcased a "tale of two cities," with significant divergence among the three major indices. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 0.65%, demonstrating strong upward momentum; the S&P 500 also closed up 0.4%, continuing its oscillating upward trend. However, the Nasdaq Composite Index fell by 0.18%, with tech stocks collectively underperforming and becoming the main drag.

In terms of individual stocks, tech giants Apple and Nvidia both fell by about 0.5%, reflecting the market's cautious attitude towards tech stock valuations; C-base (COIN.O) plummeted over 7%, drawing significant attention from investors. Dramatically, crypto concept stocks rose against the trend, becoming a bright spot in the U.S. stock market that day.

Meanwhile, CME's "Fed Watch" data provides important guidance for market trends. The data shows that the market's expectation for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in June is as high as 91.7%, with only an 8.3% chance of a rate cut; looking ahead to July, the probability of maintaining rates is 63.2%, while the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 34.2%, and a 50 basis point cut is as low as 2.6%. This interest rate expectation will continue to influence capital flows and investment decisions.

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[Bitcoin: After a Deep V Reversal, Technical Indicators Hide Risks]

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Bitcoin staged a thrilling deep V reversal overnight! The price rebounded strongly from a low of $101,340, breaking through the $104,000 mark, leading to a massive liquidation of short positions and igniting market bullish sentiment. However, behind the prosperity, technical indicators are sounding alarms: on the hourly chart, the upper Bollinger Band exerts strong resistance, with prices oscillating near the middle band, and bullish momentum continues to wane, increasing the risk of falling below the middle band; the KDJ indicator has had its three lines in the overbought zone for an extended period, and once the J value turns downward to form a death cross, a technical correction will be imminent; in the MACD indicator, the DIF line and DEA line have been hovering below the zero axis, and even if the red bars grow briefly, if the volume does not follow, the price is very likely to return to a downward channel. Overall, Bitcoin is currently dominated by bearish sentiment, and investors must remain vigilant.

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[Ethereum: After a Resonant Rebound, Bull and Bear Struggle Intensifies]

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As Bitcoin experienced a deep V reversal, Ethereum also began to rebound, with the price quickly climbing to $2,603, creating a strong resonance with Bitcoin. However, after reaching a high, it quickly retreated to $2,540, indicating the intensity of the bull-bear battle. On the daily chart, the strong bullish rebound has broken the short-term weak pattern, establishing a slightly stronger oscillating trend; on the four-hour chart, the price has formed a narrowing triangle pattern, indicating an impending directional choice, with $2,620 becoming a key resistance level.

Technical indicators are also sending mixed signals: although the price has rebounded after testing support, the RSI has entered the oversold zone without showing signs of a rebound; the MACD histogram's negative value continues to expand, with short positions holding the upper hand in the short term. It is recommended that investors patiently wait for the price to stabilize before considering a short-term bullish strategy to avoid risks from short-term volatility.

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If you are feeling lost — not understanding the technology, unable to read the charts, unsure when to enter the market, not knowing how to set stop losses, unclear about taking profits, randomly increasing positions, getting stuck while trying to catch the bottom, unable to hold onto profits, missing out on market movements… these are common issues for retail investors. But don't worry, I can help you establish the right trading mindset. A single profitable trade speaks louder than a thousand words, and finding the right direction is better than repeatedly facing defeats. Instead of frequent trading, it’s better to strike precisely, making each trade more valuable. If you need real-time guidance, you can scan the QR code at the bottom of the article to follow my public account. The market changes rapidly, and due to the timeliness of reviews, subsequent trends will be based on real-time layouts. I look forward to progressing steadily with you in the market.

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