Master Discusses Hot Topics:

Today, let's talk about the recent market sensation, James. His marketing is indeed soaring; just a couple of days ago, he was only 100U away from being liquidated. He holds 5,782 BTC, with an average price of 110,084, and a liquidation price of 107,320, totaling a market value of 620 million. Currently, he is facing a floating loss of nearly 10 million dollars.

In the past few days, whether for self-promotion, creating hype, or pushing his own project, he has certainly generated a lot of buzz, achieving his goal. I guess at this point, some people must be wondering if they can follow his trades?

Are you confused? You should know that ordinary small investors simply cannot play this game. You can't follow his long positions, don't touch his shorts, and don't naively think you can profit by being his opponent.

Don't think the market is targeting James; in fact, the market never targets anyone, but it won't spare anyone either. It acts like a hacker; as long as you have a liquidation price, just wait to be liquidated—it's only a matter of time. To survive, having money is not enough.

Looking at MicroStrategy, they bought more BTC for 427 million dollars. If you are shorting, are you scared now? I say, scared of what? If he hadn't continued to buy 4,000 BTC last week, how would BTC have broken through 110,000? But don't forget, he is not a money printer; his funds are limited, and it will run out sooner or later.

The reason prices can keep rising is that we are still in a bull market, and profits from the U.S. stock market can be used to increase positions. But if one day the macro environment changes, and you can't patch up the east wall with the west wall, he will also blow up.

Moreover, the higher it goes, the larger the buying volume needs to be. Who can handle that? This is no different from a Ponzi scheme; the later you enter, the higher the risk. In a medium-term trend, there will always be a good shorting opportunity.

For example, if Japan suddenly raises interest rates again one day, do you believe BTC could drop unilaterally for two months? The market won't keep rising forever; corrections are necessary.

Back to the market, the daily structure of BTC is currently stable, and the upward trend has not been broken. The key level is between 102,000 and 102,500. If it really breaks down here, the daily structure will be ruined, and we will have to look down. But if it holds, then we will continue to see fluctuations at the top, aiming for new highs.

The current core resistance is 110,000. If it breaks above, we will enter a new peak; if it can't hold, we will test the 102,000 area. Tuesday and Wednesday have light news, with the focus still on the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes at 2 AM on Thursday.

Master Looks at Trends:

Resistance Levels Reference:

Second Resistance Level: 110,000

First Resistance Level: 109,100

Support Levels Reference:

Second Support Level: 107,700

First Support Level: 106,800

Today's Suggestions:

After yesterday's close, the upward trend line received support and showed a short-term rebound, peaking at 110.5K before retreating. If the price breaks below the current upward trend line and support level, it's time to change your mindset.

Once the trend line is broken, it means the trend may reverse, and trading should follow the new strategy. From the hourly level, we can see a rebound after breaking the trend line, but the upward trend line quickly turned into resistance. The price is heading down again; after losing this trend line, it will form an N-shaped downward structure.

Currently, 109,100 can be considered strong resistance. If a secondary rebound occurs in this area but the highs keep lowering, a new round of correction may be on the way. If you are looking to go long in the short term, consider taking profits in batches as you approach this resistance.

To break through resistance quickly, a large bullish candle with volume is needed. However, without significant positive news, the probability of such a large bullish candle appearing is low.

Therefore, I suggest that as the coin price rises slowly and trading volume gradually increases, treat 109,100 and 110,000 as phased profit-taking targets.

107,700 is an important short-term support level, coinciding with the 200-day moving average and the upward trend line, making it a good entry point with a favorable risk-reward ratio. If it breaks below, we will look down to the second support at 106,800.

Since the overall trend is still bullish, we should maintain a bullish mindset. Look for points to stop the decline and start a rebound; if the trend line is completely broken, be wary of the continuation of the N-shaped decline and consider promptly going short or stepping aside to observe.

Although there has been a short-term pullback recently, the overall upward trend has not changed from a larger time frame perspective. Today, pay close attention to the selling pressure intensity and volume changes in the 109,000 to 110,000 range. If there is a volume-driven pullback, you can participate in the correction; if there is a volume-driven breakout, you can go long.

5.27 Master’s Band Strategy:

Long Entry Reference: Buy in batches in the 106,500-106,800 range. Target: 109,100-109,800

Short Entry Reference: Not applicable for now.

If you truly want to learn something from a blogger, you need to keep following them, rather than making hasty conclusions after just a few market observations. This market is filled with performers; today they show screenshots of long positions, tomorrow they summarize short positions, making it seem like they "always catch the tops and bottoms," but in reality, it's all hindsight. A truly worthy blogger will have a trading logic that is consistent, coherent, and withstands scrutiny, rather than jumping in only when the market moves. Don't be blinded by exaggerated data and out-of-context screenshots; long-term observation and deep understanding are necessary to discern who is a thinker and who is a dreamer!

This article is exclusively planned and published by Master Chen (WeChat public account: Coin God Master Chen). For more real-time investment strategies, solutions, spot trading, short, medium, and long-term contract trading techniques, operational skills, and knowledge about candlesticks, you can join Master Chen for learning and communication. A free experience group for fans has been opened, along with community live broadcasts and other quality experience projects!

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