I am very glad that you can take a moment to read my article. Here are a few small suggestions that I hope can help all investors. As an analyst with many years of investment experience, I have gone through many market situations like the one we have seen in the past couple of days. I can guess your current mindset is probably quite similar to what I have experienced. Do not resent the market, and do not blame yourself. When investing, the goal is to make a profit, and I understand that. However, if you are facing losses, there are many reasons, but the serious ones usually boil down to a few: not using stop-losses, holding onto losing positions until liquidation, having too strong subjective opinions, poor execution, fear and doubt, negative and pessimistic mindsets, etc. This is just a summary of some points. If you find yourself in any of these situations or others, feel free to talk to me; I believe I can help you solve your problems. I hope my predictions about the market can provide some assistance. Hello everyone, I am Zongheng, add me to learn about daily market dynamics!

Today, the market has continued its downward trend. After rebounding to around 118900 yesterday, it struggled to break through the 119000 mark. Then, in the early hours, a new round of downward movement began, and as of now, the low has reached around 114300. In yesterday's operations, the rebound did not provide us with the target entry point for shorting, as the shorting point near 119700 was not reached. Subsequently, during the market decline, we followed the operational plan and entered long positions near 117000, but ultimately the market continued to decline, leading to stop-losses on the long positions. Initially, we expected the market to continue its oscillation, but influenced by tariffs and the U.S. stock market in the evening, the market moved downward, effectively changing the recent oscillation trend.

Returning to today's market, the continuous decline has completed a round of liquidation of the long liquidity accumulated around 115000. From the current liquidity distribution, the price has entered a dense long liquidation zone. However, from the spot premium index, after the market's decline, the premium has risen, and spot buying power has started to enter, preventing further long liquidation. We previously mentioned that during continuous oscillation, it is very likely that external news could trigger a trend change. In the early hours, it was evident that under the negative impact of comprehensive tariffs, the U.S. stock market fell, and the crypto market was not immune, experiencing a small-scale correction, which is very normal. If the price tests the long liquidation zone again but does not trigger a liquidation and rebounds, then this wave of correction may be nearing its end. Additionally, in terms of current liquidity, there has been a significant increase in new short positions, including newly added high-leverage short liquidity, and we will have to see how the market reacts to this liquidity next. In the short term, the long liquidity liquidation is around 113200, while there is indeed a lot of short liquidity above, particularly in the 116500-117200 range, where some new high-leverage short liquidity has accumulated.

From a technical perspective, the daily level has been in continuous oscillation, and I once thought that the expected correction at the daily level might be coming to an end. However, the market dropped quickly, and with the K-line continuously closing in the red on the daily structure, it is indeed showing some weakness in the short term. The price is running below the moving average death cross, and in terms of technical indicators, MACD is starting to move downward in the bearish cycle, while RSI is diverging downward and approaching low levels. On the four-hour chart, the structure has already shown a lower low, and the last K-line closed as a pin bar, but it is just a bearish candle with a long lower shadow. This pattern indicates that there is indeed some buying power at the bottom, but it seems that this buying power is not strong enough to bring about a decisive trend change. Therefore, I personally believe that the current low is unlikely to be the low of this adjustment, but we have not seen any signs of a bottom yet. Based on the current market, I judge that after reaching a low point, we can expect the price to oscillate at a low level for a while before rebounding again.

In terms of operations, if the market continues to move downward and reaches around 113200, it can be used as an entry point for long positions. For shorting during a rebound, we hope to clear the short high-leverage liquidity before finding a suitable shorting position. However, given the current weakness in the market, we can wait to see if there will be a re-accumulation of short liquidity.

Ethereum seems to have really started to return to its original market operation recently. From the perspective of market sentiment, the short-term outlook is still not very ideal, as the spot premium continues to decline, indicating that there is still considerable selling power in the market. Currently, the long liquidity liquidation intensity for Ethereum is around 3500. If the downward movement continues, it is highly likely that this position will be targeted for liquidity liquidation. For short-term longs, it is advisable to wait for liquidity liquidation before making a decision.

【The above analysis and strategies are for reference only. Please bear the risks yourself. The article is subject to review and publication, and real-time market changes may lead to information lag. Specific operations should be based on real-time strategies. Feel free to contact me for market discussions.】

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