Good morning, crypto friends ☀️, I am Wang Yibo! Today is Tuesday, August 5, 2025. Welcome everyone to pay attention to the real-time hotspots in the crypto world and seize the best trading opportunities together. Iron fans remember to check in 👍, friends who like will make a fortune 🍗🍗🌹🌹
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Market Environment: The Impact of a Positive U.S. Stock Market and Federal Reserve Policies
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The U.S. stock market closed brightly on Monday, with the Dow Jones initially rising by 1.34%, the S&P 500 index up by 1.47%, and the Nasdaq up by 1.95%. Among them, Tesla (TSLA.O) rose by 2%, Meta (META.O) rose by 3.5%, and Nvidia (NVDA.O) rose by 3.6%. The strong rise of tech stocks injected vitality into the market.
The expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy are also affecting market nerves. According to CME's "FedWatch": the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in September is only 5.6%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is as high as 94.4%; the probability of maintaining interest rates in October is 1.6%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 30.8%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 67.6%. This strong expectation for rate cuts suggests that the cost of capital in the market may further decrease, and investors' willingness to chase high-yield assets may increase, positively impacting the crypto market, which is showing a growth trend across the board.
It is worth noting that recently, large whale institutions have been continuously increasing their holdings in Ethereum, Solana, and other cryptocurrencies, causing the prices to rebound sharply. This phenomenon reminds us that in the crypto market, the darkness before dawn is often the easiest to get lost in, and many may miss opportunities at this time. Therefore, paying attention to Yibo and keeping up with real-time dynamics is particularly important.
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Bitcoin Market Analysis and Trading Suggestions
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Last night, Bitcoin's market showed a fluctuating upward trend, with prices continuously rising from a low of 114074 to a high of 115692 before stopping. From the current market observation, the four-hour level is maintaining a steady upward trend, with prices gradually approaching the upper Bollinger Band. Although there was a slight pullback from the bears during this period, the force was weak and did not shake the overall upward trend. Currently, it is showing a strong short squeeze, with prices climbing without giving the market a chance to breathe for a correction.
From a technical perspective, the daily and weekly levels have clearly opened up upward space, and Bitcoin has successfully broken through key levels, further consolidating the bullish trend. In terms of operations, it is recommended to rely on the previous top-bottom conversion point as support and continue to maintain a bullish outlook. The core focus going forward should be on the sustainability of the upward momentum, closely tracking Bitcoin's breakthrough strength against the upper resistance, and seizing trend extension opportunities accordingly.
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Ethereum Market Analysis and Trading Suggestions
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Ethereum's market is moving in sync with Bitcoin, with prices rebounding after a pullback to a low of 3627 last night, reaching a high of 3735 in the morning. From the current market observation, the four-hour level is showing a rebound and repair trend: the MACD green bars are continuously shortening and about to turn red, indicating that bearish momentum is gradually weakening. If the DIF crosses above the DEA to form a golden cross, and the histogram continues to expand, it will confirm the continuation of the rebound trend.
Although the hourly level is in a short-term bullish trend, the bullish momentum is continuously diverging, and the overall trend has entered the control of the bulls. In the short term, it is recommended to focus on short-term bullish operations.
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If you are feeling confused—don’t understand the technology, don’t know how to read the market, don’t know when to enter, don’t know how to set stop losses, don’t understand take profits, randomly increasing positions, getting stuck at the bottom, unable to hold profits, missing market opportunities… these are common problems for retail investors. But don’t worry, I can help you establish the correct trading mindset. A single profit is worth a thousand words, and finding the right direction is better than repeated failures. Instead of frequent operations, it’s better to strike accurately, making each trade more valuable. If you need real-time guidance, you can scan the QR code at the bottom of the article to follow my public account. The market changes rapidly, and due to the timeliness of reviews, subsequent trends will be based on real-time layouts. I look forward to moving steadily forward in the market with you.
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