Tracking real-time hotspots in the cryptocurrency market and seizing the best trading opportunities, today is Friday, August 15, 2025, I am Wang Yibo! Good morning, crypto friends! ☀️ Die-hard fans check in 👍 Like to make big money 🍗🍗🌹🌹

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U.S. stocks closed lower on Thursday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 0.02%, the S&P 500 up 0.03%, and the Nasdaq down 0.01%. Intel (INTC.O) rose 7.38%, while the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index fell 2.13%. According to CME's "FedWatch": the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 7.9%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 92.1%. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in October is 3.2%, with a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut at 41.7% and a cumulative probability of a 50 basis point cut at 55.2%. The market was doused with cold water amid the heat, as the U.S. PPI inflation in July "exploded," prompting an urgent response from the Federal Reserve, which strengthened the dollar. The cryptocurrency market fell across the board, and the contract market once again showed a dual explosion of long and short positions! Stay tuned to Yibo to grasp real-time market dynamics and seize opportunities in the ever-changing market.

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Bitcoin's market performance yesterday was like a thrilling roller coaster ride. From the highest point to the lowest point, it fell nearly 7,000 points, such drastic fluctuations truly tested investors' emotional resilience. During yesterday's afternoon session, the market peaked at around 124,488 before coming under pressure and falling back. In the evening session, influenced by news, the price quickly dropped to a low of 117,369, then rebounded slightly, reaching a high of 119,307. However, the good times didn't last long, as it faced pressure again in the early morning, dropping to 117,119 before showing a slight rebound.

From a technical structure perspective, although the price is currently at a relatively low level, the overall structure still maintains a strong pattern. The current pullback can be seen as a technical confirmation of the previous high. Last week's K-line formed a long upper shadow, clearly indicating that upward momentum encountered significant resistance. After a series of strong breakthroughs, the bullish energy has been sufficiently released, and the decay of momentum has led to a pullback, causing the market to enter a correction phase. This week, the market continues to show a corrective adjustment trend, similar to the rhythm at the end of last week. However, the difference is that last week's end was characterized by a strong correction in the form of high-level consolidation instead of a deep pullback, while the current situation shows weak correction characteristics in price decline. In this weak correction pattern, investors should focus on laying out long positions at support levels and avoid chasing highs directly.

It is worth noting that Bitcoin briefly broke through $124,000 on August 14, setting a new historical high, with its total market capitalization currently reaching $2.45 trillion, surpassing Google and ranking among the top five global asset market capitalizations, currently only behind gold, Nvidia, Microsoft, and Apple. Since 2025, Bitcoin's price has fluctuated significantly, declining from around $98,000 at the beginning of the year, dropping below $75,000 in April, with a decline exceeding 30% at one point. However, it then rebounded from the bottom, turning from decline to rise in April, and has shown an upward trend for five consecutive months since breaking through the $120,000 mark for the first time in July. Entering August, Bitcoin has oscillated in the $115,000 - $120,000 range for several days, with daily volatility significantly increasing. The market generally believes that the recent inflation data released by the U.S. met expectations, reinforcing the market's bets on a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September, which is one of the important reasons for Bitcoin's new round of upward momentum. Additionally, the high correlation between cryptocurrencies and traditional stock markets has also become a significant feature of this round of increase.

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Ethereum's movement is highly correlated with Bitcoin, also showing a pattern of pullback - surge - and then pullback. During yesterday's daytime session, Ethereum oscillated upward, peaking at around 4,792 before starting to pull back. In the evening session, influenced by related news, it fell to a low of 4,452, then began to rebound, reaching a high of 4,702 before falling again. By the time it reached the lowest point, it dropped to around 4,454 and then started to rebound again, gradually recovering some ground, indicating that the support below remains solid. The current pullback seems more like a "halftime break" during the upward journey, aimed at accumulating momentum for the subsequent market rather than signaling a trend reversal. In the short term, as long as the lower support holds, Ethereum is likely to return to the upward channel after oscillating and consolidating.

In the current cryptocurrency market, investors need to closely monitor changes in market hotspots and trends. On one hand, attention should be paid to macroeconomic factors, such as the Federal Reserve's monetary policy direction and U.S. inflation data, as these factors significantly impact the cryptocurrency market. On the other hand, technical analysis of mainstream cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum is also crucial. By analyzing price trends, K-line patterns, and other technical indicators, investors can better grasp short-term fluctuations and long-term trends, thereby formulating better investment strategies to seize the best trading opportunities in the complex and ever-changing cryptocurrency market.

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If you are feeling lost—don’t understand the technology, can’t read the charts, don’t know when to enter the market, don’t know how to set stop losses, don’t understand take profits, randomly increase positions, get stuck while trying to catch the bottom, can’t hold onto profits, miss out on market opportunities… these are common issues for retail investors. But don’t worry, I can help you establish the right trading mindset. A single profitable trade speaks louder than a thousand words, and finding the right direction is better than repeatedly facing defeat. Instead of frequent trading, it’s better to strike precisely, making each trade more valuable. If you need real-time guidance, you can scan the QR code at the bottom of the article to follow my public account. The market changes rapidly, and due to the timeliness of reviews, subsequent trends will be based on real-time layouts. I look forward to moving steadily forward in the market with you.

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